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Uthai Thani vs Port MTI FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Uthai Thani Provincial Stadium, Uthai Thani
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Chamratsamee P.
37'
Doloh A.
38'
Chamratsamee P.

AI Match Summary

Port MTI FC in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Port MTI FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Uthai Thani
15%
Draws
34%
Port MTI FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uthai Thani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Port MTI FC lately — more wins on the board than Uthai Thani.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Uthai Thani taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Uthai Thani Clean Sheet 16%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uthai Thani Port MTI FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.6 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Port MTI FC
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Uthai Thani
3:1
Apr 5, 2025 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Uthai Thani
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Port MTI FC
1:1
Mar 9, 2024 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Uthai Thani
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uthai Thani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Port MTI FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Tocantins
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uthai Thani 57 / 100
Port MTI FC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uthai Thani Port MTI FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uthai Thani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uthai Thani scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Port MTI FC has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Uthai Thani remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uthai Thani VS Port MTI FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uthai Thani

(Home)
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Uthai Thani
1 : 2
Pattani
06 Sept
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 4
Uthai Thani
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1
Chainat Hornbill
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
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Port MTI FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Port MTI FC
2 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
05 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 2
Port MTI FC
29 Aug
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)