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Uthongathi vs Real Native

South Africa South Africa

Nedbank Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Mosadi K.
52' Event
Mosadi K.
66' Event
Mosadi K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Real Native advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Uthongathi
35%
Draws
41%
Real Native
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Native

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Native come out ahead of Uthongathi on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Real Native arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Native, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Real Native have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Uthongathi Clean Sheet 19%
Real Native Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uthongathi Real Native
Matches Played 30 45
Wins 9 23
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Uthongathi vs Real Native
1:2
Jan 8, 2023 Nedbank Cup
Uthongathi vs Real Native
0:3
Oct 16, 2022 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Real Native vs Uthongathi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uthongathi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Real Native Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosadi K.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uthongathi 32 / 100
Real Native 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uthongathi Real Native

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Native Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uthongathi has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Uthongathi scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Real Native let in goals in 58% of their last 45 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Native
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uthongathi

(Home)
14 May
Uthongathi
4 : 4
NB La Masia
07 May
Magesi
0 : 0
Uthongathi
29 Apr
Polokwane City
0 : 1
Uthongathi
23 Apr
Uthongathi
1 : 1
Venda
09 Apr
Uthongathi
1 : 1
Pretoria Callies
Page 1 of 6

Real Native

(Away)
12 Sept
Lerumo Lions
0 : 1
Real Native
04 Sept
Real Native
1 : 0
Midlands Wanderers
29 Aug
Upington City
2 : 1
Real Native
21 Aug
Real Native
2 : 1
Cape Town City
17 May
Real Native
3 : 1
Gomora United
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Golden Arrows -
TBD -
Pretoria Callies 1
JDR Stars 0
Cape Town City -
TBD -
TBD -
Royal AM -
Durban City -
TBD -
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Mkhambathi -
TBD -
Uthongathi 0
Real Native 3
Supersport Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Dondol Stars -
AmaZulu -
TBD -
TBD -
Tornado FC -
Cape Town All Stars 7
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 1
TBD -
Orlando Pirates -
BlackCross -
TBD -
Hungry Lions 1
Venda 2
TS Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
Amavarara -
Stellenbosch FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Swallows FC -
Marumo Gallants -
TBD -
NB La Masia 0
Magesi 1
Mamelodi Sundowns -
TBD -
TBD -
Richards Bay -
Black Leopards 0
Polokwane City 1
TBD -
Chippa Utd. -
Mpheni -
TBD -
TBD -
Clarewood -
Sekhukhune -
TBD -
TBD -
Liver Brothers -
Cape Town Spurs 1
Pretoria U. 0
Baroka 4
Platinum City 1
1/16-finals
Golden Arrows 2
Pretoria Callies 1
Cape Town City 0
Royal AM 1
Durban City 0
Kaizer Chiefs 2
Mkhambathi 0
Real Native 4
Supersport Utd 1
Dondol Stars 2
AmaZulu 3
Tornado FC 2
Cape Town All Stars 0
Orlando Pirates 2
BlackCross 1
Venda 2
TS Galaxy 2
Amavarara 0
Stellenbosch FC 3
Swallows FC 0
Marumo Gallants 3
Magesi 1
Mamelodi Sundowns 3
Richards Bay 2
Polokwane City 1
Chippa Utd. 2
Mpheni 3
Clarewood 0
Sekhukhune 6
Liver Brothers 0
Cape Town Spurs 3
Baroka 0
1/8-finals
Golden Arrows 1
Royal AM 3
Kaizer Chiefs 2
Real Native 1
Dondol Stars 2
AmaZulu 1
Orlando Pirates 2
Venda 1
TS Galaxy 3
Stellenbosch FC 6
Marumo Gallants 1
Mamelodi Sundowns 3
Chippa Utd. 2
Mpheni 0
Sekhukhune 2
Cape Town Spurs 0
Quarter-finals
Royal AM 1
Kaizer Chiefs 2
Dondol Stars 1
Orlando Pirates 2
Stellenbosch FC 2
Mamelodi Sundowns 1
Chippa Utd. 1
Sekhukhune 2
Semi-finals
Kaizer Chiefs 1
Orlando Pirates 2
Stellenbosch FC 0
Sekhukhune 1
Final
Orlando Pirates 2
Sekhukhune 1