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Utiel vs Ontinyent 1931 CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Rolania S.
54' Event
Sempere P.
67' Event
Junquero D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 game between Utiel and Ontinyent 1931 CF finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ontinyent 1931 CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Utiel
30%
Draws
47%
Ontinyent 1931 CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ontinyent 1931 CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ontinyent 1931 CF come out ahead of Utiel on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ontinyent 1931 CF have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Utiel Clean Sheet 20%
Ontinyent 1931 CF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utiel Ontinyent 1931 CF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 11 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Utiel vs Ontinyent 1931 CF
1:3
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Ontinyent 1931 CF
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Ontinyent 1931 CF vs Utiel
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Ontinyent 1931 CF
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Ontinyent 1931 CF vs Utiel
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Junquero D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ontinyent 1931 CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Sempere P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Casanova J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utiel 36 / 100
Ontinyent 1931 CF 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utiel Ontinyent 1931 CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ontinyent 1931 CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utiel found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Ontinyent 1931 CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Utiel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Utiel VS Ontinyent 1931 CF
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Utiel

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico Saguntino
3 : 2
Utiel
27 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Roda
20 Sept
Soneja
2 : 0
Utiel
12 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Acero
06 Sept
Vall de Uxo
0 : 0
Utiel
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Ontinyent 1931 CF

(Away)
04 Oct
Ontinyent 1931 CF
1 : 2
Villarreal C
27 Sept
Ontinyent 1931 CF
3 : 0
CD Bunol
20 Sept
Levante B
2 : 0
Ontinyent 1931 CF
13 Sept
Ontinyent 1931 CF
1 : 0
Atletico Saguntino
06 Sept
Roda
2 : 1
Ontinyent 1931 CF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellonense 34 20 7 7 56:30 67
2 Atletico Saguntino 34 20 6 8 50:30 66
3 Levante B 34 18 11 5 54:26 65
4 Villarreal C 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 La Nucia 34 16 13 5 44:26 61
6 CD Bunol 34 13 11 10 34:40 50
7 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 31:29 49
8 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 13 9 12 32:30 48
9 Torrellano 34 13 8 13 40:38 47
10 Soneja 34 13 6 15 35:42 45
11 Hercules B 34 10 11 13 31:46 41
12 Roda 34 11 7 16 32:45 40
13 Crevillente 34 9 11 14 44:49 38
14 Espanol de San Vicente 34 10 8 16 35:44 38
15 Atzeneta 34 10 7 17 29:39 37
16 Utiel 34 7 10 17 30:45 31
17 Alzira 34 7 10 17 32:49 31
18 Recambios Colon 34 2 13 19 27:55 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)