Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Stepanov A.
Assist: Vesterlund N.
11'
11'
van Bommel R.
15'
15'
Offerhaus G.
AI Match Summary
PSV in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSV.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSV
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to PSV lately — more wins on the board than Utrecht.
- Win probability leans PSV's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
- History favors PSV here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%
PSV Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Utrecht | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 2.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs PSV
1:6
Apr 4, 2026 Eredivisie
PSV vs Utrecht
4:3
Dec 21, 2025 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs PSV
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 Eredivisie
PSV vs Utrecht
2:2
Dec 1, 2024 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs PSV
2:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Utrecht Compare
Top Goalscorer Stepanov A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
PSV Compare
Top Goalscorer Til G.
2 Goals Assists Leader van Bommel R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Utrecht 10 / 100
PSV 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Utrecht PSV
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
PSV has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.
Utrecht scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Solid form: Utrecht remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Utrecht VS PSV
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Utrecht
(Home) 20 Sept
Feyenoord
5 : 0 Utrecht
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2 Utrecht
08 Sept
Utrecht
3 : 3 G.A. Eagles
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6 PSV
22 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3 Utrecht
Page 1 of 7
08 Sept
Utrecht
3 : 3 G.A. Eagles
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6 PSV
15 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 4 AZ Alkmaar
02 Aug
Utrecht
0 : 1 Sevilla
17 Jul
Utrecht
3 : 2 V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 4
PSV
(Away) 20 Sept
Twente
3 : 2 PSV
13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1 Shakhtar
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3 PSV
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6 PSV
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Twente
3 : 2 PSV
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3 PSV
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6 PSV
15 Aug
Excelsior
1 : 2 PSV
10 May
G.A. Eagles
1 : 4 PSV
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 16 |
| 4 | Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
