Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Utrecht W vs SBV Excelsior W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Sub
Balkhir H. In: Haizoun D.
Out: Balkhir H.
45' Event
Snellenberg M.
58'
Martina S.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 game between Utrecht W and SBV Excelsior W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utrecht W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Utrecht W
15%
Draws
0%
SBV Excelsior W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Utrecht W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Utrecht W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Utrecht W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Utrecht W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Utrecht W Clean Sheet 68%
SBV Excelsior W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrecht W SBV Excelsior W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.72 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.79 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.27 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs SBV Excelsior W
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Utrecht W
2:4
Apr 11, 2025 Club Friendly Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Utrecht W
0:9
Feb 9, 2025 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Utrecht W
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs SBV Excelsior W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utrecht W Compare

Top Goalscorer Snellenberg M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Jong S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.14

SBV Excelsior W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrecht W 86 / 100
SBV Excelsior W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrecht W SBV Excelsior W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Utrecht W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SBV Excelsior W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

SBV Excelsior W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Utrecht W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Utrecht W VS SBV Excelsior W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.8
88% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrecht W

(Home)
19 Sept
Utrecht W
0 : 3
Feyenoord W
13 Sept
Utrecht W
3 : 4
PEC Zwolle W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
22 Aug
PSV W
1 : 1
Utrecht W
16 Aug
Utrecht W
0 : 1
Ajax W
Page 1 of 6

SBV Excelsior W

(Away)
18 Jul
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 4
De Graafschap W
22 May
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
SBV Excelsior W
08 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 3
Feyenoord W
03 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 2
Ajax W
26 Apr
PEC Zwolle W
4 : 1
SBV Excelsior W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV W 22 17 3 2 56:15 54
2 Ajax W 22 15 5 2 55:18 50
3 Feyenoord W 22 14 5 3 45:17 47
4 Twente W 22 14 4 4 55:19 46
5 Utrecht W 22 11 4 7 41:37 37
6 PEC Zwolle W 22 11 1 10 35:32 34
7 Heerenveen W 22 8 2 12 38:51 26
8 AZ Alkmaar W 22 6 6 10 36:46 24
9 Den Haag W 22 6 4 12 24:45 22
10 Hera United W 22 5 5 12 24:42 20
11 SBV Excelsior W 22 2 2 18 18:51 8
12 NAC Breda W 22 2 1 19 17:71 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)