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Utrillas vs CD Caspe

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Caparros Escuder A.
67' Event
Kombe M.
79'
Cabrero J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between Utrillas and CD Caspe finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Caspe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Utrillas
30%
Draws
31%
CD Caspe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Utrillas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Caspe come out ahead of Utrillas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CD Caspe's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Utrillas Clean Sheet 17%
CD Caspe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrillas CD Caspe
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 12
Draws 12 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs CD Caspe
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs Utrillas
1:1
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs Utrillas
0:2
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs CD Caspe
0:1
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs CD Caspe
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utrillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Kombe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

CD Caspe Compare

Top Goalscorer Caparros Escuder A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rotellar F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrillas 28 / 100
CD Caspe 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrillas CD Caspe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Caspe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Caspe let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Utrillas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CD Caspe's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Utrillas VS CD Caspe
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrillas

(Home)
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2
CD Caspe
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
Zuera
0 : 2
Utrillas
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
La Almunia
Page 1 of 6

CD Caspe

(Away)
24 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 1
CD Caspe
17 May
CD Caspe
1 : 1
CD Cuarte
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2
CD Caspe
03 May
CD Caspe
1 : 2
Tamarite
26 Apr
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
CD Caspe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)