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Stadium Background

Utrillas vs Tamarite

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Pach G.
29' Event
Pach G.
33' Event
Castro C.

AI Match Summary

Tamarite in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tamarite.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Utrillas
20%
Draws
44%
Tamarite
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tamarite

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tamarite lately — more wins on the board than Utrillas.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Utrillas Clean Sheet 16%
Tamarite Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrillas Tamarite
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 12 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Tamarite
2:3
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Tamarite vs Utrillas
2:2
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Tamarite
2:0
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Tamarite vs Utrillas
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Tamarite
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utrillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Redolar D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Tamarite Compare

Top Goalscorer Pach G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Espinosa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrillas 31 / 100
Tamarite 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrillas Tamarite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamarite Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tamarite conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Utrillas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tamarite lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utrillas VS Tamarite
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrillas

(Home)
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2
CD Caspe
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
Zuera
0 : 2
Utrillas
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
La Almunia
Page 1 of 6

Tamarite

(Away)
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3
Tamarite
05 Sept
Tamarite
1 : 2
Zaragoza B
10 May
Tamarite
0 : 1
CF Illueca
03 May
CD Caspe
1 : 2
Tamarite
26 Apr
Tamarite
1 : 2
Binefar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)