Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Gwengwe S.
38'
38'
Boorn J.
39'
39'
Gwengwe S.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Uxbridge and Poole Town finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Uxbridge
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Uxbridge haven't matched Poole Town's recent run of results.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Uxbridge taking it.
- Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Uxbridge Clean Sheet 18%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uxbridge | Poole Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Uxbridge vs Poole Town
3:3
Dec 13, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Uxbridge
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uxbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Moore G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Boorn J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Poole Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Gwengwe S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Spalding H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Uxbridge 58 / 100
Poole Town 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Uxbridge Poole Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Uxbridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Uxbridge found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Uxbridge stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Poole Town conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Uxbridge VS Poole Town
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Uxbridge
(Home) 15 Aug
Gosport Borough
1 : 1 Uxbridge
11 Aug
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 2 Uxbridge
08 Aug
Uxbridge
2 : 0 Chippenham Town
25 Apr
Uxbridge
3 : 3 Poole Town
18 Apr
Walton & Hersham
1 : 1 Uxbridge
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Uxbridge
2 : 0 Chippenham Town
25 Apr
Uxbridge
3 : 3 Poole Town
06 Apr
Uxbridge
2 : 0 Hanwell Town
28 Mar
Uxbridge
3 : 3 Wimborne
14 Mar
Uxbridge
2 : 2 Evesham
Page 1 of 3
Poole Town
(Away) 15 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 2 Basingstoke
11 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 1 Sholing
08 Aug
Chichester City
1 : 2 Poole Town
14 Jul
Poole Town
2 : 0 Eastleigh
11 Jul
Cardiff U21
1 : 1 Poole Town
Page 1 of 7
08 Aug
Chichester City
1 : 2 Poole Town
11 Jul
Cardiff U21
1 : 1 Poole Town
29 Apr
Gloucester City
3 : 2 Poole Town
25 Apr
Uxbridge
3 : 3 Poole Town
11 Apr
Chertsey Town
0 : 1 Poole Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
