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Uzbekistan U17 vs Iraq U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Uzbekistan U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Uzbekistan U17
20%
Draws
38%
Iraq U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uzbekistan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Uzbekistan U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Uzbekistan U17's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Uzbekistan U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uzbekistan U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Uzbekistan U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Iraq U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan U17 Iraq U17
Matches Played 32 19
Wins 24 6
Draws 1 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.34 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U17
Uzbekistan U17 vs Iraq U17
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U17 34 / 100
Iraq U17 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan U17 Iraq U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan U17's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Uzbekistan U17 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Iraq U17 conceded in 58% of 19 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan U17 VS Iraq U17
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan U17

(Home)
19 May
Japan U17
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U17
16 May
Uzbekistan U17
3 : 2
South Korea U17
13 May
Uzbekistan U17
2 : 0
Australia U17
10 May
India U17
0 : 3
Uzbekistan U17
18 Nov
Italy U17
3 : 2
Uzbekistan U17
Page 1 of 7

Iraq U17

(Away)
30 Nov
Australia U17
3 : 3
Iraq U17
28 Nov
Iraq U17
1 : 0
Bhutan U17
26 Nov
Iraq U17
2 : 2
Jordan U17
22 Nov
Philippines U17
2 : 3
Iraq U17
27 Oct
Uzbekistan U17
1 : 0
Iraq U17
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U17 4 4 0 0 17:4 12
2 Iran U17 4 3 0 1 13:7 9
3 Hong Kong U17 4 2 0 2 7:17 6
4 Syria U17 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
5 Jordan U17 4 0 0 4 4:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afghanistan U17 4 4 0 0 23:3 12
2 Philippines U17 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
3 Bangladesh U17 4 2 0 2 10:4 6
4 Cambodia U17 4 2 0 2 3:5 6
5 Macau U17 4 0 0 4 0:24 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U17 4 3 1 0 22:2 10
2 China U17 4 3 1 0 19:2 10
3 Bahrain U17 4 2 0 2 2:4 6
4 Bhutan U17 4 0 1 3 2:14 1
5 Maldives U17 4 0 1 3 2:25 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U17 3 3 0 0 24:2 9
2 India U17 3 2 0 1 16:3 6
3 Turkmenistan U17 3 1 0 2 10:3 3
4 Brunei U17 3 0 0 3 0:42 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U17 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Iraq U17 3 2 0 1 9:1 6
3 Palestine U17 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Chinese Taipei U17 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 3 3 0 0 21:2 9
2 Qatar U17 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Mongolia U17 3 1 0 2 1:9 3
4 Nepal U17 3 0 0 3 2:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U17 3 2 1 0 22:1 7
2 Indonesia U17 3 2 1 0 11:0 7
3 Kuwait U17 3 1 0 2 10:4 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands U17 3 0 0 3 0:38 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U17 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Malaysia U17 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
3 Laos U17 2 0 1 1 4:7 1
4 Lebanon U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U17 3 2 1 0 10:4 7
2 Vietnam U17 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
3 Myanmar U17 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U17 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U17 3 3 0 0 38:1 9
2 Oman U17 3 2 0 1 23:2 6
3 Singapore U17 3 1 0 2 15:8 3
4 Guam U17 3 0 0 3 0:65 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams