Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uzbekistan U21 vs Russia U21

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Koltakov A.
15' Event
Ishkov I.
65'
Bekmurodov A.

AI Match Summary

Russia U21 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Russia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Uzbekistan U21
15%
Draws
78%
Russia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Russia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Russia U21 lately — more wins on the board than Uzbekistan U21.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Russia U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Russia U21 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Uzbekistan U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Russia U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan U21 Russia U21
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 6 20
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.06 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U21 vs Russia U21
3:6
Jun 5, 2025 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U21 vs Russia U21
0:3
Sep 11, 2023 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U21 vs Russia U21
0:2
May 27, 2017 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U21 vs Russia U21
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Russia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Koltakov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ishkov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U21 10 / 100
Russia U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan U21 Russia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.25 goals per match.

Russia U21 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Uzbekistan U21 found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (18 games).

Recent resilience: Uzbekistan U21 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan U21 VS Russia U21
0.71 Goals Scored 2
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan U21

(Home)
30 Dec
Qatar U23
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U21
27 Dec
Uzbekistan U21
0 : 0
Jordan U23
08 Jun
Uzbekistan U21
3 : 6
Russia U21
05 Jun
Uzbekistan U21
0 : 3
Russia U21
25 Mar
Northern Ireland U21
1 : 0
Uzbekistan U21
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Russia U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
30 Mar
Russia U21
1 : 2
Jordan U23
27 Mar
Russia U21
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U23
18 Nov
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 8
Russia U21
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