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Uzbekistan U23 vs Afghanistan U23

Asia Asia

Asian Games
Wed, Sep 20, 2023
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uzbekistan U23 host Afghanistan U23 in the Asian Games. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Uzbekistan U23 at 2.63 goals for, 1.13 against; Afghanistan U23 at 0.67 for, 1.67 against. Head-to-head, Uzbekistan U23 have won 2 to Afghanistan U23's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.15 vs 0.90, favoring Uzbekistan U23. Uzbekistan U23 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Uzbekistan U23
33%
Draws
27%
Afghanistan U23
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Uzbekistan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Uzbekistan U23 have won more games recently than Afghanistan U23.
  • Uzbekistan U23 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Asian Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Uzbekistan U23 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Uzbekistan U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Afghanistan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan U23 Afghanistan U23
Matches Played 32 19
Wins 18 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.63 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2023 Asian Games
Uzbekistan U23 vs Afghanistan U23
0:0
Sep 6, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23
Uzbekistan U23 vs Afghanistan U23
8:1
Sep 22, 2014 Asian Games
Afghanistan U23 vs Uzbekistan U23
0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U23 50 / 100
Afghanistan U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan U23 Afghanistan U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UZB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan U23 scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Afghanistan U23 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Away concern: Afghanistan U23 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan U23 VS Afghanistan U23
2.63 Goals Scored 0.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.67
100% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 67%
75% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1China U2332109:17
2India U2331113:64
3Myanmar U2331112:54
4Bangladesh U2330120:21
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iran U2332107:07
2Saudi Arabia U2332106:17
3Vietnam U2331025:93
4Mongolia U2330032:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uzbekistan U2322003:16
2Hong Kong U2320021:30
3Afghanistan U2300000:00
4Syria U2300000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U2322004:16
2Palestine U2320110:11
3Qatar U2320111:31
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea U23330016:09
2Bahrain U2330212:52
3Thailand U2330212:62
4Kuwait U2330212:112
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Korea U2333004:09
2Kyrgyzstan U2331024:43
3Indonesia U2331022:23
4Chinese Taipei U2331022:63