Sport Picks
Uzbekistan vs Kyrgyzstan
World
World Championship 2026 Milliy Stadium, Tashkent 
Match Events
10'
10'
Abdurakhmanov O.
24'
24'
Datsiev S.
26'
26'
Shomurodov E.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
The World Championship 2026 game between Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uzbekistan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uzbekistan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Kyrgyzstan haven't matched Uzbekistan's recent run of results.
- Model gives Kyrgyzstan a 36% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Uzbekistan here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Uzbekistan Clean Sheet 19%
Kyrgyzstan Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uzbekistan | Kyrgyzstan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2025 CAFA Nations Cup
Uzbekistan vs Kyrgyzstan
4:0
Mar 20, 2025 World Championship
Uzbekistan vs Kyrgyzstan
1:0
Sep 10, 2024 World Championship
Kyrgyzstan vs Uzbekistan
2:3
Dec 25, 2023 Friendly International
Kyrgyzstan vs Uzbekistan
1:4
Mar 25, 2022 Friendly International
Uzbekistan vs Kyrgyzstan
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uzbekistan Compare
Top Goalscorer Alizhonov K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.62
Kyrgyzstan Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Uzbekistan 24 / 100
Kyrgyzstan 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Uzbekistan Kyrgyzstan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kyrgyzstan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Uzbekistan scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Kyrgyzstan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Solid form: Uzbekistan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Uzbekistan VS Kyrgyzstan
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 29%
63% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Uzbekistan
(Home) 01 Oct
Uzbekistan
4 : 1 Syria
24 Sept
Uzbekistan
3 : 1 Iran
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1 Uzbekistan
23 Jun
Portugal
5 : 0 Uzbekistan
18 Jun
Uzbekistan
1 : 3 Colombia
Page 1 of 7
01 Oct
Uzbekistan
4 : 1 Syria
24 Sept
Uzbekistan
3 : 1 Iran
18 Jun
Uzbekistan
1 : 3 Colombia
30 Mar
Uzbekistan
1 : 0 Venezuela
27 Mar
Uzbekistan
3 : 1 Gabon
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Kyrgyzstan
(Away) 28 Sept
Kyrgyzstan
5 : 0 Maldives
09 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0 Palestine
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0 Palestine
28 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
2 : 5 Madagascar
25 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 1 Equatorial Guinea
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Uzbekistan
4 : 0 Kyrgyzstan
02 Sept
Oman
2 : 1 Kyrgyzstan
05 Jun
North Korea
2 : 2 Kyrgyzstan
20 Mar
Uzbekistan
1 : 0 Kyrgyzstan
14 Nov
United Arab Emirates
3 : 0 Kyrgyzstan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iran | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 3 | United Arab Emirates | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Qatar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:24 | 13 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 6 | North Korea | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Korea | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 20:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Jordan | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Iraq | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 15 |
| 4 | Oman | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Palestine | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 6 | Kuwait | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:20 | 5 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 30:3 | 23 |
| 2 | Australia | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Indonesia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:20 | 12 |
| 5 | China | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 9 |
| 6 | Bahrain | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:16 | 6 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)
