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Uzbekistan vs Syria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Al Aswad M.
27' Event
Esanov S.
Assist: Norchaev K.
45' Event
Mozgovoy A.

AI Match Summary

Uzbekistan in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uzbekistan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Uzbekistan
15%
Draws
34%
Syria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uzbekistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uzbekistan lately — more wins on the board than Syria.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Uzbekistan Clean Sheet 14%
Syria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan Syria
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Friendly International
Uzbekistan vs Syria
4:1
Jan 13, 2024 Asian Cup
Uzbekistan vs Syria
0:0
Nov 12, 2020 Friendly International
Syria vs Uzbekistan
1:0
Jun 11, 2019 Friendly International
Uzbekistan vs Syria
2:0
Sep 6, 2018 Friendly International
Uzbekistan vs Syria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Norchaev K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Esanov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Syria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan 35 / 100
Syria 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan Syria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Syria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Syria registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Syria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan VS Syria
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan

(Home)
06 Oct
South Korea
2 : 0
Uzbekistan
01 Oct
Uzbekistan
4 : 1
Syria
24 Sept
Uzbekistan
3 : 1
Iran
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1
Uzbekistan
23 Jun
Portugal
5 : 0
Uzbekistan
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Syria

(Away)
01 Oct
Uzbekistan
4 : 1
Syria
27 Sept
Jordan
1 : 1
Syria
05 Jun
Belarus
4 : 1
Syria
31 Mar
Syria
5 : 1
Afghanistan
11 Dec
Morocco
1 : 0
Syria
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