Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uzbekistan vs Venezuela

World World

FIFA Series Milliy Stadium, Tashkent
Mon, Mar 30, 2026
1 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Ferraresi N.
58'
Sub
Ganiev A. In: Odilov A.
Out: Ganiev A.
64'
Sub
Ramirez J. In: Rondon S.
Out: Ramirez J.

AI Match Summary

Uzbekistan in this FIFA Series matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uzbekistan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Uzbekistan
15%
Draws
34%
Venezuela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uzbekistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Uzbekistan have won more games recently than Venezuela.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Uzbekistan Clean Sheet 19%
Venezuela Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan Venezuela
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.62 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 FIFA Series
Uzbekistan vs Venezuela
1:0
Mar 28, 2023 Friendly International
Uzbekistan vs Venezuela
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan 36 / 100
Venezuela 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan Venezuela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venezuela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Venezuela conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Venezuela registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan VS Venezuela
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan

(Home)
01 Oct
Uzbekistan
4 : 1
Syria
24 Sept
Uzbekistan
3 : 1
Iran
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1
Uzbekistan
23 Jun
Portugal
5 : 0
Uzbekistan
18 Jun
Uzbekistan
1 : 3
Colombia
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Venezuela

(Away)
02 Oct
South Korea
0 : 0
Venezuela
28 Sept
Japan
2 : 1
Venezuela
10 Jun
Iraq
0 : 2
Venezuela
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2
Turkey
30 Mar
Uzbekistan
1 : 0
Venezuela
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