Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uzbekistan W vs Philippines W

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Sub
Amirova G. In: Ablyakimova I.
Out: Amirova G.
47' Event
Beard A.
Assist: Guy J.
52' Event
Sawicki J.
Assist: Guy J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Uzbekistan W
30%
Draws
41%
Philippines W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Philippines W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Philippines W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Uzbekistan W taking it.
  • Philippines W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Philippines W, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Uzbekistan W Clean Sheet 68%
Philippines W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan W Philippines W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.71 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Asian Games Women
Philippines W vs Uzbekistan W
1:1
Mar 19, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Uzbekistan W vs Philippines W
0:2
Oct 29, 2025 Friendly International Women
Philippines W vs Uzbekistan W
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Friendly International Women
Philippines W vs Uzbekistan W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Philippines W Compare

Top Goalscorer Beard A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sawicki J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan W 59 / 100
Philippines W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan W Philippines W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uzbekistan W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Uzbekistan W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Uzbekistan W scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Philippines W conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan W VS Philippines W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan W

(Home)
25 Sept
South Korea W
6 : 3
Uzbekistan W
21 Sept
Uzbekistan W
2 : 1
Hong Kong W
17 Sept
Uzbekistan W
1 : 1
China W
14 Sept
Philippines W
1 : 1
Uzbekistan W
06 Jun
Thailand W
1 : 0
Uzbekistan W
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Philippines W

(Away)
25 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Philippines W
21 Sept
China W
5 : 1
Philippines W
17 Sept
Hong Kong W
0 : 2
Philippines W
14 Sept
Philippines W
1 : 1
Uzbekistan W
09 Jun
Albion San Diego W
0 : 2
Philippines W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Uzbekistan W 0
Philippines W 2
Chinese Taipei W 0
North Korea W 4