Sport Picks

Stadium Background

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Okinawa

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup 2021 Transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki, Nagasaki
V-Varen Nagasaki Logo

V-Varen Nagasaki

2 - 0
FT
Okinawa Logo

Okinawa

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ibarbo V.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Shikayama T. In: Isomura R.
Out: Shikayama T.
55'
Sub
Luan In: Otake Y.
Out: Luan
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

V-Varen Nagasaki in this Emperors Cup 2021 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
V-Varen Nagasaki
6%
Draws
4%
Okinawa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: V-Varen Nagasaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to V-Varen Nagasaki lately — more wins on the board than Okinawa.
  • Model gives V-Varen Nagasaki a 90% chance of winning this.
  • V-Varen Nagasaki have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor V-Varen Nagasaki, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
V-Varen Nagasaki Clean Sheet 68%
Okinawa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric V-Varen Nagasaki Okinawa
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 15 1
Draws 2 0
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2021 Emperors Cup
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Okinawa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

V-Varen Nagasaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Otake Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Okinawa Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

V-Varen Nagasaki 95 / 100
Okinawa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
V-Varen Nagasaki Okinawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VVA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Okinawa conceded in 100% of 8 recent games.

V-Varen Nagasaki scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Okinawa's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

V-Varen Nagasaki VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

V-Varen Nagasaki

(Home)
17 Jul
Utrecht
3 : 2
V-Varen Nagasaki
14 Jul
Nijmegen
3 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
06 Jun
Mito
0 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
30 May
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 0
Mito
23 May
Kyoto
1 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 7

Okinawa

(Away)
16 Jan
Okinawa
1 : 6
Kyoto
11 Jun
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 0
Okinawa
25 May
Okinawa
4 : 1
Verspah Oita
27 Jan
Okinawa
4 : 5
Nagoya Grampus
24 Jan
Urawa Reds
5 : 0
Okinawa
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Gamba Osaka3
Kwansei1
Matsumoto Yamaga1
Ryukyu0
Yokohama FC1
Vanraure2
Shonan Bellmare1
FC Osaka0
Kashiwa Reysol3
Tochigi City0
Kyoto3
Imabari1
Urawa Reds1
Toyama0
Giravanz Kitakyushu0
SC Sagamihara1
Nagoya Grampus5
Mitsubishi Motors Mizushima0
Verdy0
Okayama1
Vissel Kobe4
Atletico Suzuka0
Tokushima2
Kochi United1
Cerezo Osaka2
Gainare Tottori0
Albirex Niigata4
Kanazawa1
Sagan Tosu1
Kumamoto0
Avispa Fukuoka6
Kagoshima United0
Kawasaki Frontale2
Nagano Parceiro1
Chiba1
Omiya Ardija0
Shimizu S-Pulse1
Fukuyama City0
Vegalta Sendai0
Iwate Grulla Morioka1
Kashima Antlers8
YSCC Yokohama1
Tochigi SC2
Machida Zelvia0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo5
Sony Sendai3
V-Varen Nagasaki2
Okinawa0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1
Ococias Kyoto5
Montedio Yamagata1
Verspah Oita2
Yokohama F. Marinos2
Honda FC3
Iwata3
Hokkaido Tokachi0
FC Tokyo1
Juntendo University2
Mito0
Thespakusatsu Gunma3
Oita Trinita3
Honda Lock2
Kofu1
Fukui Utd.2
1/16-finals
Gamba Osaka2
Matsumoto Yamaga0
Vanraure1
Shonan Bellmare2
Kashiwa Reysol1
Kyoto2
Urawa Reds1
SC Sagamihara0
Nagoya Grampus1
Okayama0
Vissel Kobe1
Tokushima0
Cerezo Osaka3
Albirex Niigata2
Sagan Tosu1
Avispa Fukuoka0
Kawasaki Frontale2
Chiba1
Shimizu S-Pulse2
Iwate Grulla Morioka1
Kashima Antlers3
Tochigi SC0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo1
V-Varen Nagasaki2
Ococias Kyoto1
Verspah Oita3
Honda FC1
Iwata4
Juntendo University2
Thespakusatsu Gunma3
Oita Trinita2
Fukui Utd.0
1/8-finals
Gamba Osaka4
Shonan Bellmare1
Kyoto0
Urawa Reds1
Nagoya Grampus1
Vissel Kobe0
Cerezo Osaka1
Sagan Tosu0
Kawasaki Frontale2
Shimizu S-Pulse1
Kashima Antlers3
V-Varen Nagasaki1
Verspah Oita0
Iwata1
Thespakusatsu Gunma1
Oita Trinita2
Quarter-finals
Gamba Osaka0
Urawa Reds2
Nagoya Grampus0
Cerezo Osaka3
Kawasaki Frontale3
Kashima Antlers1
Iwata0
Oita Trinita2
Semi-finals
Urawa Reds2
Cerezo Osaka0
Kawasaki Frontale1
Oita Trinita2
Final
Urawa Reds2
Oita Trinita1