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Vaajakoski vs Narpes Kraft

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C Vaajakosken keskuskentta
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kokkonen E.
21' Event
Isanovic S.
28' Event
Schroderus O.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group C game between Vaajakoski and Narpes Kraft finished 4-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Narpes Kraft.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Vaajakoski
22%
Draws
60%
Narpes Kraft
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Narpes Kraft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Vaajakoski have managed 2.13 goals a game lately — Narpes Kraft are scoring more at 3.63.
  • Model gives Narpes Kraft a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vaajakoski Clean Sheet 10%
Narpes Kraft Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaajakoski Narpes Kraft
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 2.13 3.63
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs Narpes Kraft
4:5
Aug 12, 2023 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs Narpes Kraft
1:0
May 21, 2023 Kakkonen Group C
Narpes Kraft vs Vaajakoski
0:3
Sep 18, 2022 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs Narpes Kraft
2:4
Apr 30, 2022 Kakkonen Group C
Narpes Kraft vs Vaajakoski
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaajakoski Compare

Top Goalscorer Salmi E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kokkonen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Narpes Kraft Compare

Top Goalscorer Isanovic S.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Kalabic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaajakoski 18 / 100
Narpes Kraft 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaajakoski Narpes Kraft

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Narpes Kraft conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Vaajakoski scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Vaajakoski remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vaajakoski VS Narpes Kraft
2.13 Goals Scored 3.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GBK Kokkola1270527:2321
2Jaro 21270526:3621
3Narpes Kraft1261539:2719
4Huima / Urho1253429:2318
5TP-471245322:2117
6SJK Akatemia 21252519:2217
7VPS 21244430:2416
8JBK1251620:1816
9Vaajakoski1242625:3014
10JS Hercules1232717:3011