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Vaajakoski vs Narpes Kraft

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C Vaajakosken keskuskentta, Vaajakoski
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kokkonen E.
21' Event
Isanovic S.
28' Event
Schroderus O.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group C game between Vaajakoski and Narpes Kraft finished 4-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Narpes Kraft.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vaajakoski
15%
Draws
51%
Narpes Kraft
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narpes Kraft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Narpes Kraft come out ahead of Vaajakoski on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vaajakoski a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Vaajakoski Clean Sheet 13%
Narpes Kraft Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaajakoski Narpes Kraft
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.97 2.37
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Kakkonen Group C
Narpes Kraft vs Vaajakoski
2:3
May 9, 2026 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs Narpes Kraft
4:5
Aug 12, 2023 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs Narpes Kraft
1:0
May 21, 2023 Kakkonen Group C
Narpes Kraft vs Vaajakoski
0:3
Sep 18, 2022 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs Narpes Kraft
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaajakoski Compare

Top Goalscorer Salmi E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kokkonen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Narpes Kraft Compare

Top Goalscorer Isanovic S.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Kalabic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaajakoski 84 / 100
Narpes Kraft 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaajakoski Narpes Kraft

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaajakoski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Narpes Kraft conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Vaajakoski scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Away concern: Narpes Kraft has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vaajakoski VS Narpes Kraft
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaajakoski

(Home)
26 Sept
JS Hercules
2 : 2
Vaajakoski
19 Sept
Vaajakoski
0 : 1
TP-47
12 Sept
SJK Akatemia 2
2 : 1
Vaajakoski
06 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 0
JS Hercules
22 Aug
TP-47
4 : 2
Vaajakoski
Page 1 of 6

Narpes Kraft

(Away)
19 Sept
Narpes Kraft
7 : 0
VPS 2
12 Sept
GBK Kokkola
5 : 0
Narpes Kraft
06 Sept
Huima / Urho
5 : 0
Narpes Kraft
02 Sept
Narpes Kraft
2 : 1
Jaro 2
28 Aug
JBK
5 : 0
Narpes Kraft
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huima / Urho 18 11 3 4 50:26 36
2 GBK Kokkola 18 10 2 6 43:33 32
3 JBK 18 10 1 7 37:24 31
4 VPS 2 18 7 4 7 47:36 25
5 Jaro 2 18 8 1 9 33:54 25
6 Narpes Kraft 18 7 2 9 50:45 23
7 TP-47 18 6 5 7 28:35 23
8 Vaajakoski 18 6 3 9 34:44 21
9 JS Hercules 18 6 3 9 31:42 21
10 SJK Akatemia 2 18 5 4 9 27:41 19
Promotion - Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage)