Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vaca Diez vs 3 de Febrero

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2024 Estadio Roberto Jordán Cuéllar, Cobija
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

3 de Febrero in this Nacional B 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored 3 de Febrero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Vaca Diez
15%
Draws
64%
3 de Febrero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 3 de Febrero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • 3 de Febrero have won more games recently than Vaca Diez.
  • Model gives Vaca Diez a 21% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vaca Diez Clean Sheet 10%
3 de Febrero Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaca Diez 3 de Febrero
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 1
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Vaca Diez vs 3 de Febrero
1:3
Aug 31, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
3 de Febrero vs Vaca Diez
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaca Diez 83 / 100
3 de Febrero 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaca Diez 3 de Febrero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaca Diez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

3 de Febrero has conceded goals in 85% of their last 20 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: 3 de Febrero has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vaca Diez's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vaca Diez VS 3 de Febrero
0.38 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaca Diez

(Home)
21 Sept
Vaca Diez
0 : 0
Wilstermann Cooperativas
15 Sept
Vaca Diez
1 : 3
3 de Febrero
06 Sept
Academia del Balompie
5 : 0
Vaca Diez
31 Aug
3 de Febrero
3 : 0
Vaca Diez
25 Aug
Vaca Diez
1 : 4
Academia del Balompie
Page 1 of 6

3 de Febrero

(Away)
29 Sept
Deportivo Shalon
12 : 1
3 de Febrero
21 Sept
Libertad FC
1 : 0
3 de Febrero
16 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
9 : 1
3 de Febrero
06 Sept
3 de Febrero
2 : 1
Libertad FC
28 Aug
3 de Febrero
0 : 2
Universitario de Sucre
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CDN Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
2 Petrolero de Yacuiba 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
3 Stormers SC 6 2 1 3 6:14 7
4 Millonarios 6 1 0 5 6:11 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Sucre 6 5 0 1 22:7 15
2 Amanecer 6 3 2 1 15:9 11
3 Ciclon 6 1 2 3 8:14 5
4 El Tejar 6 0 2 4 9:24 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Beni 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
2 Tiquipaya 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
3 Deportivo Aleman 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Moto Club 6 0 1 5 7:20 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
2 Real Potosi 6 3 2 1 13:9 11
3 Fatic 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 9:18 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oruro Royal 6 4 0 2 15:16 12
2 Real Oruro 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 Destroyers 6 1 3 2 9:8 6
4 Rio San Juan 6 0 3 3 8:14 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia del Balompie 6 3 2 1 19:11 11
2 3 de Febrero 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
4 Vaca Diez 6 0 2 4 3:16 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams