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Vach vs 1. FC Sand

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vach play 1. FC Sand in the Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019. Vach are favorites here. Recently, Vach averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. 1. FC Sand averaged 0.84 goals scored and 2.44 conceded. In past meetings, Vach won 1, 1. FC Sand won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 7, 2019 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Vach and 0.93 for 1. FC Sand. This points to a Vach double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Vach
15%
Draws
28%
1. FC Sand
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Vach picked up more points recently compared to 1. FC Sand.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Vach Clean Sheet 24%
1. FC Sand Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vach 1. FC Sand
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 5
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 24
Goals Scored 1.4 0.84
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.44

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Vach vs 1. FC Sand
2:0
Sep 7, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
1. FC Sand vs Vach
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vach 56 / 100
1. FC Sand 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vach 1. FC Sand

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Vach & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vach attacking → ← attacking 1. FC Sand

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vach scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

1. FC Sand let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Vach went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

1. FC Sand lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 18
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1TSV Aubstadt34244683:2776
2Gebenbach34227583:4273
3Wurzburger FV34206867:3966
4Grossbardorf34205967:3965
5SV Seligenporten34188869:5062
6Eltersdorf341581156:4553
7Bayern Hof341471354:4549
8DJK Don Bosco Bamberg341461444:3948
9Wurzburger Kickers II341461460:6948
10Abtswind341361559:6745
11Ansbach3411101368:7743
12DJK Ammerthal341161751:5239
13ATSV Erlangen341161743:6039
141. FC Sand341051942:6635
15Vach341032145:7633
16Erlangen34942153:7431
17Jahn Forchheim34862058:8630
18ASV Neumarkt34772035:8428