Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group A

Vado

3 - 0

Folgore Caratese

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Abonckelet M.

39'

Raffini S.

79'

Abonckelet M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Vado and Folgore Caratese finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Vado

20%

Draws

46%

Folgore Caratese

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Folgore Caratese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Vado come out ahead of Folgore Caratese on wins alone.
Model gives Folgore Caratese a 40% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Vado Clean Sheet 18%

Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vado	Folgore Caratese
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	18	15
Draws	6	11
Losses	7	4
Goals Scored	2.63	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie D - Group A

Vado vs Folgore Caratese

3:0

Apr 18, 2021 Serie D - Group A

Folgore Caratese vs Vado

1:2

Dec 23, 2020 Serie D - Group A

Vado vs Folgore Caratese

0:1

Apr 12, 2014 Serie D - Group A

Vado vs Folgore Caratese

1:1

Dec 1, 2013 Serie D - Group A

Folgore Caratese vs Vado

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Abonckelet M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Raffini S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Folgore Caratese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vado 28 / 100

Folgore Caratese 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vado Folgore Caratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vado found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Folgore Caratese has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Vado remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vado VS Folgore Caratese

2.63 Goals Scored 1.5

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25

100% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vado

(Home)

05 Aug

Torino

3 : 1

Vado

06 Jun

Vado

0 : 6

Scafatese

30 May

Vado

2 : 0

Barletta

24 May

Barletta

2 : 1

Vado

17 May

Vado

3 : 0

Folgore Caratese

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Folgore Caratese

(Away)

31 Jul

Sassuolo

0 : 0

Folgore Caratese

25 Jul

Arezzo

1 : 1

Folgore Caratese

17 May

Vado

3 : 0

Folgore Caratese

13 May

Folgore Caratese

2 : 0

Treviso

02 May

Folgore Caratese

5 : 1

Sondrio

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