Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vado vs Pinerolo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Merkaj O.
25' Event
Merkaj O.
56' Event
Merkaj O.

AI Match Summary

Vado in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Vado
35%
Draws
32%
Pinerolo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vado lately — more wins on the board than Pinerolo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Vado Clean Sheet 20%
Pinerolo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vado Pinerolo
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 22 5
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Pinerolo
4:1
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Vado
0:0
May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Pinerolo
1:1
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Vado
1:1
Jan 6, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Vado
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Merkaj O.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Spanu T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Pinerolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Coppola G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vado 32 / 100
Pinerolo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vado Pinerolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vado scored in 77% of their last 39 games.

Pinerolo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Vado went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vado VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vado

(Home)
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0
Vado
28 Aug
Pianese
0 : 0
Vado
21 Aug
Vado
2 : 0
Atalanta U23
Page 1 of 8

Pinerolo

(Away)
12 May
AC Chieri
0 : 0
Pinerolo
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Sanremese
0 : 0
Pinerolo
21 Apr
Pinerolo
1 : 1
Ligorna
14 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 1
Pinerolo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)