Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Torre B.
37'
37'
Cecchinato L.
55'
55'
Barwuah E.
AI Match Summary
Vado in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sestri Levante
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Vado lately — more wins on the board than Sestri Levante.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Vado have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Vado, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vado Clean Sheet 17%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vado | Sestri Levante |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Sestri Levante vs Vado
0:3
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Sestri Levante
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Vado
0:1
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Vado vs Sestri Levante
3:0
Apr 2, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Vado
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vado Compare
Top Goalscorer Torre B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cecchinato L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Sestri Levante Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vado 31 / 100
Sestri Levante 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vado Sestri Levante
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sestri Levante has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Vado found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Difficult form: Sestri Levante registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vado VS Sestri Levante
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vado
(Home) 26 Sept
Sassari Torres
0 : 0 Vado
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Pescara
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1 Vado
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Pescara
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Campobasso
21 Aug
Vado
2 : 0 Atalanta U23
14 Aug
Vado
2 : 1 Inter U23
06 Jun
Vado
0 : 6 Scafatese
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Sestri Levante
(Away) 27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2 AS Biellese
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1 Sestri Levante
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3 Fezzanese
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0 Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1 Sestri Levante
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
19 Aug
Sampdoria U20
1 : 4 Sestri Levante
07 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 2 Sestri Levante
26 Apr
Celle Varazze
1 : 0 Sestri Levante
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
