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Vado vs Stresa Vergante

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Diglio G.

AI Match Summary

Vado in this Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Vado
20%
Draws
38%
Stresa Vergante
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vado lately — more wins on the board than Stresa Vergante.
  • Model gives Vado a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Vado Clean Sheet 20%
Stresa Vergante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vado Stresa Vergante
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 31 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Stresa Vergante
1:0
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Stresa Vergante vs Vado
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Diglio G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Stresa Vergante Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vado 42 / 100
Stresa Vergante 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vado Stresa Vergante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vado scored in 84% of their last 44 games.

Defensive concern: Stresa Vergante conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Vado remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vado VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vado

(Home)
06 Jun
Vado
0 : 6
Scafatese
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
24 May
Barletta
2 : 1
Vado
17 May
Vado
3 : 0
Folgore Caratese
10 May
Treviso
3 : 3
Vado
Page 1 of 9

Stresa Vergante

(Away)
07 May
Stresa Vergante
0 : 0
Sanremese
30 Apr
Castanese
1 : 1
Stresa Vergante
23 Apr
Stresa Vergante
1 : 0
Legnano
16 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 0
Stresa Vergante
06 Apr
Stresa Vergante
1 : 1
Bra
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sestri Levante38304477:2994
2Sanremese382111659:3374
3Bra382111659:3174
4Vado381912761:4069
5Ligorna381715650:3666
6Legnano381791253:3560
7Asti Calcio381318744:3557
8Gozzano381671551:4855
9Borgosesia Calcio3814101454:5452
10PDHA3812111533:4347
11Castellanzese3811131451:5546
12AC Chieri3810151341:4545
13Fezzanese3811121547:5845
14Chisola3811101743:5343
15Pinerolo388181238:4442
16Derthona FbC389151455:6242
17Castanese389121743:5739
18Stresa Vergante387131837:4734
19Casale38592428:7924
20Fossano381112640:8014
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)