Sport Picks
Vaduz vs Lausanne Ouchy
Switzerland
Challenge League 2025/2026 Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz 
Match Events
16'
16'
Sub
Akichi E. In: Malula B.
Out: Akichi E.
19'
19'
Beyer B.
Assist: Monsberger M.
21'
21'
Conus B.
Assist: Tritten V.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
15%
58%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lausanne Ouchy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vaduz have won more games recently than Lausanne Ouchy.
- Lausanne Ouchy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 10%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vaduz | Lausanne Ouchy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 18 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Lausanne Ouchy
2:2
Jan 30, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Vaduz
5:2
Nov 9, 2025 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Lausanne Ouchy
3:2
Sep 27, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Vaduz
1:1
May 23, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Vaduz
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vaduz Compare
Top Goalscorer Beyer B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Monsberger M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Lausanne Ouchy Compare
Top Goalscorer Conus B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kaloga I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vaduz 10 / 100
Lausanne Ouchy 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vaduz Lausanne Ouchy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lausanne Ouchy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vaduz scored in 94% of their last 32 games.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Lausanne Ouchy conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Solid form: Vaduz remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Vaduz VS Lausanne Ouchy
2.25 Goals Scored 2.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vaduz
(Home) 20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2 Thun
13 Sept
Zurich
2 : 1 Vaduz
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1 Lausanne
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1 Vaduz
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2 Grasshoppers
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20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2 Thun
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1 Lausanne
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2 Grasshoppers
13 Aug
Vaduz
2 : 2 Inter Turku
02 Aug
Vaduz
2 : 3 St. Gallen
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Lausanne Ouchy
(Away) 24 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 2 Sion
20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0 Lausanne Ouchy
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0 Wil
04 Sept
Kriens
0 : 2 Lausanne Ouchy
01 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0 Etoile-Carouge
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20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0 Lausanne Ouchy
04 Sept
Kriens
0 : 2 Lausanne Ouchy
28 Aug
Winterthur
1 : 1 Lausanne Ouchy
21 Aug
Xamax
1 : 2 Lausanne Ouchy
16 Aug
CS Italien
1 : 8 Lausanne Ouchy
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vaduz | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 75:41 | 81 |
| 2 | Aarau | 36 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 77:47 | 80 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 75:48 | 67 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 59:51 | 50 |
| 5 | Xamax | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 55:56 | 49 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 36 | 14 | 2 | 20 | 52:62 | 44 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 46:54 | 40 |
| 8 | Wil | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39:55 | 40 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 36 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 33:60 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 40:77 | 23 |
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)
