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Vaduz vs Rapperswil-Jona

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Beyer B.
Assist: Dantas Fernandes R.
24' Event
Monsberger M.
Assist: Cocic M.
49'
Ngana V.

AI Match Summary

Vaduz in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaduz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vaduz
15%
Draws
46%
Rapperswil-Jona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rapperswil-Jona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rapperswil-Jona haven't matched Vaduz's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vaduz a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 20%
Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaduz Rapperswil-Jona
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 18 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.06 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Rapperswil-Jona
2:1
Mar 6, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Vaduz
0:0
Dec 12, 2025 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Vaduz
0:4
Oct 5, 2025 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Rapperswil-Jona
3:2
Jan 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Rapperswil-Jona vs Vaduz
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaduz Compare

Top Goalscorer Beyer B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Monsberger M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Rapperswil-Jona Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakayoko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaduz 36 / 100
Rapperswil-Jona 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaduz Rapperswil-Jona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vaduz scored in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Rapperswil-Jona conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Vaduz has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vaduz VS Rapperswil-Jona
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaduz

(Home)
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
13 Sept
Zurich
2 : 1
Vaduz
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2
Grasshoppers
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Rapperswil-Jona

(Away)
18 Sept
Xamax
0 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
01 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
1 : 1
Kriens
28 Aug
Etoile-Carouge
2 : 1
Rapperswil-Jona
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaduz 36 25 6 5 75:41 81
2 Aarau 36 25 5 6 77:47 80
3 Yverdon 36 20 7 9 75:48 67
4 Lausanne Ouchy 36 14 8 14 59:51 50
5 Xamax 36 14 7 15 55:56 49
6 Rapperswil-Jona 36 14 2 20 52:62 44
7 Etoile-Carouge 36 10 10 16 46:54 40
8 Wil 36 10 10 16 39:55 40
9 Stade Nyonnais 36 5 13 18 33:60 28
10 Bellinzona 36 5 8 23 40:77 23
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)