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Vaengirs vs Arbaer

Iceland Iceland

Fotbolti.net Cup 2024 Fjölnisvöllur, Grafarvogur
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Morina A. A.
Assist: Runolfsson A.
23'
Olfasson E.
27'
Runolfsson A.

AI Match Summary

Arbaer in this Fotbolti.net Cup 2024 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Vaengirs
15%
Draws
57%
Arbaer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arbaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vaengirs lately — more wins on the board than Arbaer.
  • Vaengirs are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Vaengirs have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Arbaer, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 68%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Vaengirs Clean Sheet 10%
Arbaer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaengirs Arbaer
Matches Played 26 15
Wins 10 8
Draws 1 0
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 2.19 2
Goals Conceded 2.23 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 2.45
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2024 Fotbolti.net Cup
Vaengirs vs Arbaer
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaengirs Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigurdsson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.18

Arbaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Morina A. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gudjonsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.23
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaengirs 74 / 100
Arbaer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaengirs Arbaer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaengirs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaengirs found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (25 games).

Arbaer has conceded goals in 93% of their last 15 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Arbaer lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vaengirs VS Arbaer
2.71 Goals Scored 1.75
3.14 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
86% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaengirs

(Home)
19 Mar
Vaengirs
2 : 3
Haukar
28 Mar
Vaengirs
1 : 2
KA Asvellir
06 Aug
Vaengirs
1 : 3
Arbaer
17 Jul
Vaengirs
4 : 0
KFK Kopavogur
13 Apr
Vaengirs
1 : 7
Throttur
Page 1 of 6

Arbaer

(Away)
05 Apr
Arbaer
1 : 7
Aegir
28 Mar
Lettir
3 : 5
Arbaer
19 Mar
Arbaer
1 : 0
Hafnir
16 Jul
Arbaer
3 : 4
Kormakur/Hvot
04 Apr
Kari
8 : 1
Arbaer
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fjallabyggd 1
Augnablik 2
KFA 6
Ymir 0
Tindastoll 2
KH Hlidarendi 1
Kari 1
Magni 0
Selfoss 3
KFG Gardabaer 1
Haukar 4
Volsungur 1
Vaengirs 4
KFK Kopavogur 0
Arbaer 3
Olafsvik 2
Quarter-finals
Augnablik 1
KFA 3
Tindastoll 2
Kari 1
Selfoss 3
Haukar 2
Vaengirs 1
Arbaer 3
Semi-finals
KFA 2
Tindastoll 1
Selfoss 4
Arbaer 1
Final
KFA 1
Selfoss 3