Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vaengirs vs Augnablik

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2016
Wed, May 11, 2016
2 - 3
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Sveinsson O.
19' Event
Bergs H.
104' Event
Fernandes Olafsson D.

AI Match Summary

Augnablik in this Icelandic Cup 2016 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Vaengirs
15%
Draws
57%
Augnablik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Augnablik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaengirs haven't matched Augnablik's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Augnablik a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Augnablik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Augnablik, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vaengirs Clean Sheet 10%
Augnablik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaengirs Augnablik
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 10 17
Draws 1 0
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 2.19 3.61
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2016 Icelandic Cup
Vaengirs vs Augnablik
2:3
May 13, 2014 Icelandic Cup
Vaengirs vs Augnablik
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaengirs Compare

Top Goalscorer Sveinsson O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandes Olafsson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Augnablik Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergs H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stefansson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaengirs 26 / 100
Augnablik 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaengirs Augnablik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Augnablik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaengirs found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (25 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Augnablik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Augnablik's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vaengirs VS Augnablik
2.5 Goals Scored 2.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaengirs

(Home)
19 Mar
Vaengirs
2 : 3
Haukar
28 Mar
Vaengirs
1 : 2
KA Asvellir
06 Aug
Vaengirs
1 : 3
Arbaer
17 Jul
Vaengirs
4 : 0
KFK Kopavogur
13 Apr
Vaengirs
1 : 7
Throttur
Page 1 of 6

Augnablik

(Away)
27 Mar
Selfoss
7 : 1
Augnablik
22 Mar
Augnablik
12 : 1
IBU
11 Apr
Augnablik
0 : 5
IR Reykjavik
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4
Augnablik
06 Aug
Augnablik
1 : 3
KFA
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Hviti 6
Gnupverjar 2
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Reynir 1
Alftanes 0
Vatnaliljur 1
Hamar 2
KH Hlidarendi 8
Snaefell 0
TBD -
Vestri -
Vidir 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Berserkir 15
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Sindri 3
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik 2
Kari 1
TBD -
Selfoss -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Haukar -
TBD -
Kongarnir 0
KFR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Grindavik -
TBD -
Ymir 0
Orninn 4
Tindastoll 2
Dalvik/Reynir 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Stokkseyri 1
Skallagrimur 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 4
Isbjorninn 1
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Kria 2
KV Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olafsvik -
Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Hottur 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Throttur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Nokkvi 0
Volsungur 1
Augnablik 2
Arborg 0
Midas 0
Vaengirs 1
Throttur Vogar 2
Stal-Ulfur 1
TBD -
Grotta -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Kjalnesinga 0
Lettir 3
KFS 2
GG Grindavik 1
Aegir 0
KFG Gardabaer 2
Fjallabyggd -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 0
Magni 15
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
Fram 1
Afturelding 0
Hviti 0
Kopavogur 1
Reynir 4
Hamar 1
KH Hlidarendi 0
Vestri 4
Vidir 4
Berserkir 1
Fjardabyggd 0
Sindri 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Njardvik 1
Selfoss 2
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Haukar 4
KFR 0
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Grindavik 1
Orninn 0
Tindastoll 1
KA Akureyri 2
Keflavik 2
Skallagrimur 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Breidablik -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 5
KV Reykjavik 1
IR Reykjavik 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
Olafsvik -
Huginn 1
Hottur 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Throttur -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri 1
Volsungur 2
Augnablik 3
Vaengirs 2
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 8
Lettir 0
KFS 1
KFG Gardabaer 9
Fjallabyggd 3
Magni 2
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
Fram 2
Kopavogur 0
Reynir 1
Vestri 2
Vidir 2
Sindri 0
KR Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 2
Valur 1
Fjolnir 0
Haukar 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 1
KA Akureyri 0
Keflavik 1
Fylkir 2
Breidablik 3
Kria 0
KV Reykjavik 0
Akranes 1
Stjarnan 3
Olafsvik 2
Huginn 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Volsungur 1
Augnablik 1
Grotta 6
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
KFG Gardabaer 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Hafnarfjordur 9
1/8-finals
Fram 3
Vestri 2
Vidir 3
Selfoss 4
Valur 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 0
Fylkir 2
Breidablik 2
Akranes 1
Stjarnan 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 4
Grotta 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Hafnarfjordur 4
Quarter-finals
Fram 0
Selfoss 2
Valur 5
Fylkir 0
Breidablik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Throttur 0
Hafnarfjordur 3
Semi-finals
Selfoss 1
Valur 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
Final
Valur 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0