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Vag vs Staal Jorpeland

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Maeland R.

AI Match Summary

Staal Jorpeland in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Staal Jorpeland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vag
33%
Draws
27%
Staal Jorpeland
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vag lately — more wins on the board than Staal Jorpeland.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Vag taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vag have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Vag Clean Sheet 12%
Staal Jorpeland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vag Staal Jorpeland
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Staal Jorpeland
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Staal Jorpeland vs Vag
1:3
May 24, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vag vs Staal Jorpeland
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vag Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Staal Jorpeland Compare

Top Goalscorer Maeland R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vag 38 / 100
Staal Jorpeland 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vag Staal Jorpeland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Staal Jorpeland has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Vag has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vag VS Staal Jorpeland
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%