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Vag vs Stabaek 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Schroter F.
37' Event
Kovac A.
43' Event
Kjos M. I.

AI Match Summary

Vag in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vag
30%
Draws
47%
Stabaek 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stabaek 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vag lately — more wins on the board than Stabaek 2.
  • Win probability leans Vag's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%
Stabaek 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vag Stabaek 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.83 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Stabaek 2 vs Vag
2:0
Jun 15, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Stabaek 2
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Schroter F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kovac A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Stabaek 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjos M. I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osman S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vag 34 / 100
Stabaek 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vag Stabaek 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Stabaek 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vag stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vag VS Stabaek 2
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vag

(Home)
15 Aug
Vag
1 : 2
Mandalskameratene
09 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 0
Vag
01 Aug
Vag
2 : 3
Madla IL
27 Jul
Odds BK 2
1 : 1
Vag
25 Jun
Vag
3 : 2
Viking 2
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Stabaek 2

(Away)
17 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 0
Stabaek 2
09 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 0
Vag
03 Aug
Brodd
2 : 2
Stabaek 2
25 Jul
Stabaek 2
1 : 1
Viking 2
28 Jun
Vindbjart
2 : 3
Stabaek 2
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