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Vag vs Varhaug - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Wahlstrom C.
27' Event
Mahlaw S.
49' Event
Dvergsdal S.

AI Match Summary

Vag in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Vag
20%
Draws
28%
Varhaug
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vag lately — more wins on the board than Varhaug.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Vag taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vag Varhaug
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.73 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Varhaug
4:1
May 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Varhaug vs Vag
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Wahlstrom C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mahlaw S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Varhaug Compare

Top Goalscorer Dvergsdal S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vag 83 / 100
Varhaug 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vag Varhaug

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Varhaug conceded in 80% of 25 recent games.

Solid form: Vag remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Vag VS Varhaug
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vag

(Home)
03 Oct
Vag
4 : 1
Varhaug
26 Sept
Viking 2
1 : 2
Vag
19 Sept
Vag
2 : 2
Brodd
12 Sept
Haugesund 2
0 : 3
Vag
05 Sept
Vag
3 : 2
Akra
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Varhaug

(Away)
03 Oct
Vag
4 : 1
Varhaug
25 Sept
Varhaug
4 : 2
Staal Jorpeland
19 Sept
Flekkeroy
1 : 1
Varhaug
14 Sept
Viking 2
4 : 0
Varhaug
05 Sept
Varhaug
3 : 0
Brodd
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