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Vag vs Vindbjart

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Roppestad D. A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Vag and Vindbjart finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Vag
15%
Draws
57%
Vindbjart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vindbjart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vindbjart come out ahead of Vag on wins alone.
  • Vindbjart are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%
Vindbjart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vag Vindbjart
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.76 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Vindbjart
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vag vs Vindbjart
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vindbjart vs Vag
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Roppestad D. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Vindbjart Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vag 14 / 100
Vindbjart 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vag Vindbjart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vindbjart Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vag scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Vindbjart's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Vag remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vag VS Vindbjart
1.5 Goals Scored 3.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vag

(Home)
12 Sept
Haugesund 2
0 : 3
Vag
05 Sept
Vag
3 : 2
Akra
30 Aug
Hinna
3 : 0
Vag
22 Aug
Vag
2 : 5
Egersund
15 Aug
Vag
1 : 2
Mandalskameratene
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Vindbjart

(Away)
13 Sept
Stabaek 2
3 : 1
Vindbjart
05 Sept
Vindbjart
2 : 0
Hinna
30 Aug
Haugesund 2
0 : 4
Vindbjart
22 Aug
Vindbjart
2 : 1
Flekkeroy
15 Aug
Vindbjart
6 : 0
Akra
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