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Vakhsh vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Prediction & H2H Stats

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Vakhsh and CSKA Pomir Dushanbe finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Pomir Dushanbe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Vakhsh
35%
Draws
30%
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA Pomir Dushanbe come out ahead of Vakhsh on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vakhsh's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Vakhsh Clean Sheet 68%
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vakhsh CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 13 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.41 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Vakhsh
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Vakhsh
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vakhsh 68 / 100
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vakhsh CSKA Pomir Dushanbe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vakhsh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vakhsh found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Vakhsh has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vakhsh VS CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vakhsh

(Home)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
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CSKA Pomir Dushanbe

(Away)
14 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0 : 3
Ravshan Kulob
06 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 0
Eskhata
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Khujand
1 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
26 Jun
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
2 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)