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Stadium Background

Vakhsh vs Eskhata

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh Logo

Vakhsh

4 - 2
FT
Eskhata Logo

Eskhata

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vakhsh in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vakhsh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Vakhsh
35%
Draws
30%
Eskhata
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Vakhsh have won more games recently than Eskhata.
  • Model gives Vakhsh a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Vakhsh Clean Sheet 17%
Eskhata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vakhsh Eskhata
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 12 10
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Eskhata
4:2
Mar 14, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Eskhata vs Vakhsh
1:2
Jun 13, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Eskhata vs Vakhsh
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Eskhata
3:1
Oct 19, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Eskhata
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vakhsh 48 / 100
Eskhata 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vakhsh Eskhata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vakhsh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Vakhsh found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Eskhata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Vakhsh stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vakhsh VS Eskhata
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vakhsh

(Home)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
Page 1 of 6

Eskhata

(Away)
16 Sept
Eskhata
3 : 1
Istaravshan
06 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 0
Eskhata
27 Aug
Eskhata
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
14 Aug
Eskhata
2 : 2
Barkchi Hisor
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)