Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vakhsh vs Khosilot Parkhar

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Vakhsh
35%
Draws
41%
Khosilot Parkhar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Khosilot Parkhar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Khosilot Parkhar have won more games recently than Vakhsh.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Khosilot Parkhar taking it.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vakhsh Clean Sheet 10%
Khosilot Parkhar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vakhsh Khosilot Parkhar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 12 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.41 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Khosilot Parkhar
2:2
Aug 21, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Khosilot Parkhar
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Vakhsh
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Vakhsh
1:2
Jun 22, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Khosilot Parkhar
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vakhsh 10 / 100
Khosilot Parkhar 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vakhsh Khosilot Parkhar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khosilot Parkhar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Vakhsh scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Khosilot Parkhar let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Vakhsh stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vakhsh VS Khosilot Parkhar
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vakhsh

(Home)
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
27 Jun
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 2
Vakhsh
13 Jun
Vakhsh
0 : 2
Ravshan Kulob
Page 1 of 6

Khosilot Parkhar

(Away)
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0
Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
14 Aug
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
02 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
5 : 2
Istaravshan
26 Jun
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
2 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 16 11 4 1 23:5 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 15 10 3 2 22:9 33
3 Khosilot Parkhar 16 9 4 3 32:17 31
4 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 15 7 3 5 18:17 24
5 Khujand 14 5 5 4 14:11 20
6 Ravshan Kulob 15 5 4 6 18:16 19
7 Vakhsh 15 4 7 4 21:20 19
8 Barkchi Hisor 14 5 3 6 18:22 18
9 Eskhata 16 4 4 8 19:31 16
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 15 3 3 9 12:28 12
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 14 2 4 8 20:26 10
12 Istaravshan 15 0 6 9 13:28 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)