Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2023/2024

Valadares Gaia FC

Sun, Sep 24, 2023

1 - 2

02:00 PM

Penafiel

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Barbosa Gabriel

90'

Bagramyan A.

Silva J.

Penalty Missed

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Penafiel advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Valadares Gaia FC

30%

Draws

34%

Penafiel

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valadares Gaia FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Penafiel come out ahead of Valadares Gaia FC on wins alone.
Model gives Valadares Gaia FC a 36% chance of winning this.
Penafiel arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Penafiel, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 20%

Penafiel Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Valadares Gaia FC	Penafiel
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	10
Draws	8	7
Losses	15	13
Goals Scored	0	0.75
Goals Conceded	0	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2023 Taça de Portugal

Valadares Gaia FC vs Penafiel

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valadares Gaia FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bagramyan A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Penafiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbosa Gabriel

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valadares Gaia FC 36 / 100

Penafiel 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Valadares Gaia FC Penafiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valadares Gaia FC found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Penafiel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Penafiel has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Penafiel

0 Goals Scored 0.75

0 Goals Conceded 0.75

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valadares Gaia FC

(Home)

07 Apr

SC Salgueiros

6 : 1

Valadares Gaia FC

24 Mar

Valadares Gaia FC

2 : 1

ACDR Lamelas

17 Mar

Vila Mea

3 : 3

Valadares Gaia FC

09 Mar

Valadares Gaia FC

0 : 1

Sao Joao de Ver

03 Mar

Florgrade

1 : 0

Valadares Gaia FC

Page 1 of 6

Penafiel

(Away)

18 Jul

Famalicao

0 : 0

Penafiel

18 Jul

Vitoria Guimaraes

5 : 0

Penafiel

17 May

Pacos Ferreira

2 : 1

Penafiel

09 May

Penafiel

1 : 0

Maritimo

04 May

Torreense

3 : 2

Penafiel

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Moncarapachense-

TBD-

CU Micaelense1

GD Alcochetense0

TBD-

Vitoria Guimaraes-

Ponte-

TBD-

Vilaverdense FC-

TBD-

SC Farense-

Valadares Gaia FC4

Torre De Moncorvo0

TBD-

Penafiel-

SC Salgueiros2

FC Foz0

TBD-

Santa Maria FC-

Sao Joao de Ver-

TBD-

Leixoes-

Anadia2

Sanjoanense3

TBD-

Vitoria Setubal-

Tomar-

TBD-

Pero Pinheiro2

Caldas SC1

Padernense1

Serpa2

TBD-

CD Gouveia-

Atletico SC0

CDR Quarteirense2

TBD-

CF Os Belenenses-

TBD-

Gil Vicente-

Uniao Lamas2

Paredes3

Florgrade3

Beira Mar1

TBD-

Moreirense-

Sertanense-

TBD-

Amarante FC-

Academica3

Uniao de Coimbra0

Fornos de Algodres0

Oliveira Hospital5

O Elvas CAD-

TBD-

Lanheses-

ACDR Lamelas-

TBD-

Tirsense-

SC Vila Real0

Ribeirao2

TBD-

Santa Clara-

Vitoria Sernache-

TBD-

Aliados Lordelo1

SC Vianense3

CD Portosantense1

Gondomar0

TBD-

Nacional-

FC Barreirense-

TBD-

SC Mirandela-

CD Rabo Peixe-

TBD-

Oliveira do Douro-

TBD-

Casa Pia-

Juv. Evora3

Portel0

Sintrense2

Operario0

TBD-

Estoril-

Gafetense-

TBD-

Mafra-

Brito-

TBD-

Feirense-

Vilar de Perdizes-

TBD-

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira-

TBD-

FC Porto-

GD Peniche2

Marinhense1

Mondinense0

CDC Montalegre2

Trofense-

TBD-

Pevidem-

Canelas 2010-

TBD-

FC Flamengos0

GD Fontinhas2

TBD-

Chaves-

Guadalupe0

Fabril do Barreiro1

TBD-

Maritimo-

Mortagua FC-

TBD-

Amora8

Vitoria FC Pico0

Lusitania FC10

Regua0

TBD-

Academico Viseu-

Pedrogao Sao Pedro-

TBD-

Leiria-

Atletico Arcos-

TBD-

Malveira-

Alqueidao3

CD Torres Novas2

TBD-

AD Marco 09-

Rebordelo1

Os Sandinenses3

Real SC1

Olivais e Moscavide2

TBD-

Sporting CP-

Dumiense-

TBD-

Santarem6

Proenca-A-Nova0

Louletano1

Imortal0

TBD-

AFS-

Oriental-

TBD-

Torreense-

TBD-

Rio Ave-

SC Vilanovense0

SC Pombal2

TBD-

Tondela-

1º Dezembro-

TBD-

Pacos Ferreira-

Atletico CP-

TBD-

Alverca13

CF Os Gavionenses0

TBD-

Vizela-

Castrense1

Penedo Gordo0

TBD-

Vila Mea-

TBD-

Estrela da Amadora-

AD Fafe1

FC Felgueiras2

AD Limianos3

Varzim2

TBD-

Arouca-

Amiense0

SB Castelo Branco7

TBD-

Oliveirense-

TBD-

Boavista-

SC Lusitania-

TBD-

Os Marialvas-

TBD-

Benfica-

Luzense-

TBD-

Camacha-

TBD-

Famalicao-

Lusitano GC2

Industria0

TBD-

Covilha-

TBD-

Portimonense-

Lusitano FCV0

Tocha2

Rebordosa2

Lobao1

TBD-

Braga-

1/64-finals

Moncarapachense6

CU Micaelense2

TBD-

Vitoria Guimaraes-

Ponte0

Vilaverdense FC5

TBD-

SC Farense-

Valadares Gaia FC1

Penafiel2

SC Salgueiros0

Santa Maria FC1

Sao Joao de Ver0

Leixoes1

Sanjoanense0

Vitoria Setubal1

Tomar1

Pero Pinheiro2

Serpa2

CD Gouveia1

CDR Quarteirense0

CF Os Belenenses1

TBD-

Gil Vicente-

Paredes5

Florgrade1

TBD-

Moreirense-

Sertanense0

Amarante FC2

Academica3

Oliveira Hospital2

O Elvas CAD1

Lanheses0

ACDR Lamelas1

Tirsense3

Ribeirao0

Santa Clara3

Vitoria Sernache0

SC Vianense3

CD Portosantense2

Nacional4

FC Barreirense0

SC Mirandela3

CD Rabo Peixe3

Oliveira do Douro2

TBD-

Casa Pia-

Juv. Evora1

Sintrense2

TBD-

Estoril-

Gafetense0

Mafra5

Brito0

Feirense2

Vilar de Perdizes5

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira1

TBD-

FC Porto-

GD Peniche2

CDC Montalegre3

Trofense0

Pevidem1

Canelas 20105

GD Fontinhas0

TBD-

Chaves-

Fabril do Barreiro1

Maritimo3

Mortagua FC2

Amora1

Lusitania FC1

Academico Viseu2

Pedrogao Sao Pedro0

Leiria12

Atletico Arcos2

Malveira3

Alqueidao1

AD Marco 093

Os Sandinenses1

Olivais e Moscavide3

TBD-

Sporting CP-

Dumiense4

Santarem3

Louletano0

AFS1

Oriental0

Torreense1

TBD-

Rio Ave-

SC Pombal0

Tondela5

1º Dezembro1

Pacos Ferreira0

Atletico CP1

Alverca0

TBD-

Vizela-

Castrense0

Vila Mea3

TBD-

Estrela da Amadora-

FC Felgueiras4

AD Limianos0

TBD-

Arouca-

SB Castelo Branco1

Oliveirense2

TBD-

Boavista-

SC Lusitania1

Os Marialvas0

TBD-

Benfica-

Luzense0

Camacha3

TBD-

Famalicao-

Lusitano GC0

Covilha1

TBD-

Portimonense-

Tocha2

Rebordosa4

TBD-

Braga-

1/32-finals

Moncarapachense1

Vitoria Guimaraes3

Vilaverdense FC3

SC Farense2

Penafiel3

Santa Maria FC0

Leixoes1

Vitoria Setubal2

Pero Pinheiro0

Serpa1

CF Os Belenenses1

Gil Vicente2

Paredes2

Moreirense1

Amarante FC1

Academica0

O Elvas CAD2

Tirsense1

Santa Clara2

SC Vianense0

Nacional6

SC Mirandela1

CD Rabo Peixe0

Casa Pia2

Sintrense0

Estoril5

Mafra3

Feirense1

Vilar de Perdizes0

FC Porto2

CDC Montalegre2

Pevidem1

Canelas 20101

Chaves0

Maritimo4

Mortagua FC1

Academico Viseu1

Leiria3

Malveira2

AD Marco 091

Olivais e Moscavide1

Sporting CP3

Dumiense1

AFS0

Torreense2

Rio Ave1

Tondela2

1º Dezembro1

Atletico CP0

Vizela1

Vila Mea0

Estrela da Amadora1

FC Felgueiras1

Arouca3

Oliveirense1

Boavista3

SC Lusitania1

Benfica4

Camacha0

Famalicao5

Covilha1

Portimonense4

Rebordosa0

Braga2

1/16-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes4

Vilaverdense FC1

Penafiel3

Vitoria Setubal2

Serpa0

Gil Vicente1

Paredes0

Amarante FC2

O Elvas CAD1

Santa Clara2

Nacional1

Casa Pia0

Estoril2

Mafra1

FC Porto4

CDC Montalegre0

Canelas 20101

Maritimo3

Leiria5

Malveira0

Sporting CP8

Dumiense0

Torreense1

Tondela2

Vizela2

Estrela da Amadora1

Arouca3

Boavista2

Benfica2

Famalicao0

Portimonense1

Braga4

1/8-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes1

Penafiel0

Gil Vicente3

Amarante FC1

Santa Clara2

Nacional1

Estoril0

FC Porto4

Maritimo0

Leiria3

Sporting CP4

Tondela0

Vizela1

Arouca0

Benfica3

Braga2

Quarter-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes3

Gil Vicente1

Santa Clara1

FC Porto2

Leiria0

Sporting CP3

Vizela1

Benfica2

Semi-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes1

FC Porto4

Sporting CP4

Benfica3

Final

FC Porto2

Sporting CP1