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Valadares Gaia FC vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022 game between Valadares Gaia FC and Santa Cruz Alvarenga finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Valadares Gaia FC
40%
Draws
29%
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz Alvarenga haven't matched Valadares Gaia FC's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 16%
Santa Cruz Alvarenga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valadares Gaia FC Santa Cruz Alvarenga
Matches Played 42 26
Wins 14 6
Draws 12 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Valadares Gaia FC vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga
2:1
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Cruz Alvarenga vs Valadares Gaia FC
0:1
Dec 19, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Valadares Gaia FC vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1:1
Aug 29, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Santa Cruz Alvarenga vs Valadares Gaia FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valadares Gaia FC 31 / 100
Santa Cruz Alvarenga 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valadares Gaia FC Santa Cruz Alvarenga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz Alvarenga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

Away concern: Santa Cruz Alvarenga has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Valadares Gaia FC scored in 64% of their last 42 games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Valadares Gaia FC VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valadares Gaia FC

(Home)
07 Apr
SC Salgueiros
6 : 1
Valadares Gaia FC
24 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
2 : 1
ACDR Lamelas
17 Mar
Vila Mea
3 : 3
Valadares Gaia FC
09 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
03 Mar
Florgrade
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia FC
Page 1 of 9

Santa Cruz Alvarenga

(Away)
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
01 May
Valadares Gaia FC
2 : 1
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
24 Apr
Gondomar
2 : 1
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
10 Apr
SC Espinho
2 : 1
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
03 Apr
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Salgueiros18134129:1443
2Leca18123336:1539
3Gondomar18103534:1933
4Castro Daire1895425:1532
5SC Espinho1885524:1329
6Santa Cruz Alvarenga1855813:1620
7Valadares Gaia FC1855822:2020
8Uniao de Coimbra18441017:2916
9Ferreira de Aves1833126:3512
10CD Gouveia1813148:386
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)