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Valadares Gaia FC vs SC Espinho

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valadares Gaia FC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valadares Gaia FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Valadares Gaia FC
6%
Draws
90%
SC Espinho
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Espinho average 2 goals a game right now, well clear of Valadares Gaia FC's 1.
  • SC Espinho are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 10%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valadares Gaia FC SC Espinho
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 12 7
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Valadares Gaia FC vs SC Espinho
0:0
Apr 16, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Espinho vs Valadares Gaia FC
0:1
Jan 29, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Espinho vs Valadares Gaia FC
0:0
Nov 21, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Valadares Gaia FC vs SC Espinho
2:0
Jan 24, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SC Espinho vs Valadares Gaia FC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valadares Gaia FC 10 / 100
SC Espinho 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valadares Gaia FC SC Espinho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valadares Gaia FC scored in 64% of their last 42 games.

SC Espinho has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Valadares Gaia FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valadares Gaia FC VS SC Espinho
1 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 33%
75% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Salgueiros18134129:1443
2Leca18123336:1539
3Gondomar18103534:1933
4Castro Daire1895425:1532
5SC Espinho1885524:1329
6Santa Cruz Alvarenga1855813:1620
7Valadares Gaia FC1855822:2020
8Uniao de Coimbra18441017:2916
9Ferreira de Aves1833126:3512
10CD Gouveia1813148:386