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Valadares Gaia W vs Albergaria/Durit W

Portugal Portugal

Taça da Liga Women 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Santiago C.

AI Match Summary

The Taça da Liga Women 2024/2025 game between Valadares Gaia W and Albergaria/Durit W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valadares Gaia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Valadares Gaia W
6%
Draws
4%
Albergaria/Durit W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valadares Gaia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Albergaria/Durit W haven't matched Valadares Gaia W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Valadares Gaia W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Taça da Liga Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Valadares Gaia W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 68%
Albergaria/Durit W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valadares Gaia W Albergaria/Durit W
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 19 3
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Valadares Gaia W
0:4
Oct 27, 2024 Taça da Liga Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Valadares Gaia W
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Albergaria/Durit W
5:0
Sep 8, 2024 Taça da Liga Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Albergaria/Durit W
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Albergaria/Durit W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valadares Gaia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Santiago C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Albergaria/Durit W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valadares Gaia W 95 / 100
Albergaria/Durit W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valadares Gaia W Albergaria/Durit W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albergaria/Durit W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Valadares Gaia W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Albergaria/Durit W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Valadares Gaia W VS Albergaria/Durit W
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Racing Power W-
TBD-
Torreense W6
Famalicao W0
SL Benfica W-
TBD-
Maritimo W3
Estoril Praia W2
Sporting W-
TBD-
Valadares Gaia W2
Albergaria/Durit W1
Damaiense W-
TBD-
Braga W6
Vilaverdense W0
Quarter-finals
Racing Power W1
Torreense W2
SL Benfica W5
Maritimo W0
Sporting W5
Valadares Gaia W4
Damaiense W4
Braga W3
Semi-finals
Torreense W0
SL Benfica W6
Sporting W8
Damaiense W1
Final
SL Benfica W2
Sporting W1