Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valadares Gaia W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W

Portugal Portugal

Taça da Liga Women Estadio Dr. Jorge Sampaio, Porto
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Stone M.

AI Match Summary

The Taça da Liga Women game between Valadares Gaia W and Vitoria Guimaraes W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valadares Gaia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Valadares Gaia W
20%
Draws
38%
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valadares Gaia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valadares Gaia W come out ahead of Vitoria Guimaraes W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Valadares Gaia W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Guimaraes W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valadares Gaia W Vitoria Guimaraes W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Valadares Gaia W
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Taça da Liga Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valadares Gaia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stone M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vitoria Guimaraes W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valadares Gaia W 42 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valadares Gaia W Vitoria Guimaraes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Valadares Gaia W scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Vitoria Guimaraes W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Valadares Gaia W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valadares Gaia W VS Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valadares Gaia W

(Home)
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
02 May
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 1
Rio Ave W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
Damaiense W
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
28 Mar
Torreense W
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria Guimaraes W

(Away)
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
02 May
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 0
Torreense W
25 Apr
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
28 Mar
Damaiense W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SL Benfica W430110:59
2Valadares Gaia W43019:19
3Braga W42119:77
4Vitoria Guimaraes W41036:83
5Maritimo W40134:171
Promotion - Taça da Liga Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting W422010:48
2Torreense W42205:28
3Rio Ave W42204:28
4Racing Power W41035:43
5Damaiense W40041:130
Promotion - Taça da Liga Women (Play Offs)