Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valadares Gaia W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women Estadio Dr. Jorge Sampaio, Porto
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lakip J.
9'
Santos D.
15'
Stone M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga BPI Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Valadares Gaia W
20%
Draws
38%
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valadares Gaia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Valadares Gaia W have won more games recently than Vitoria Guimaraes W.
  • Model gives Valadares Gaia W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Guimaraes W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valadares Gaia W Vitoria Guimaraes W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Valadares Gaia W
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Taça da Liga Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valadares Gaia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lakip J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vitoria Guimaraes W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valadares Gaia W 42 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valadares Gaia W Vitoria Guimaraes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valadares Gaia W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vitoria Guimaraes W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Valadares Gaia W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valadares Gaia W VS Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valadares Gaia W

(Home)
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
02 May
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 1
Rio Ave W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
Damaiense W
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
28 Mar
Torreense W
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria Guimaraes W

(Away)
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
02 May
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 0
Torreense W
25 Apr
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
28 Mar
Damaiense W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SL Benfica W18153058:1148
2Sporting W18105335:1635
3Torreense W18102629:2232
4Valadares Gaia W1875621:2226
5Braga W1866626:2124
6Vitoria Guimaraes W1849516:2321
7Racing Power W1846816:2318
8Rio Ave W1845910:1817
9Maritimo W18421219:4014
10Damaiense W18251117:5111
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women (Relegation - Play Offs)