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Valdefierro vs Atletico Calatayud Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 17 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2012/2013 game between Valdefierro and Atletico Calatayud finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valdefierro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Valdefierro
15%
Draws
34%
Atletico Calatayud
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valdefierro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Calatayud's 1.07 goals per match outpaces what Valdefierro have produced (0.93).
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Valdefierro taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Valdefierro here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Valdefierro Clean Sheet 19%
Atletico Calatayud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valdefierro Atletico Calatayud
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Atletico Calatayud
2:0
Dec 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs Valdefierro
0:2
Jan 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs Valdefierro
0:0
Aug 28, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Atletico Calatayud
2:0
Feb 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs Valdefierro
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdefierro 40 / 100
Atletico Calatayud 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valdefierro Atletico Calatayud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valdefierro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Calatayud has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Away concern: Atletico Calatayud has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Valdefierro's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Valdefierro VS Atletico Calatayud
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valdefierro

(Home)
13 Jun
Valdefierro
3 : 1
Sabinanigo
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
Valdefierro
3 : 2
Villanueva CF
23 May
Epila
1 : 0
Valdefierro
16 May
Valdefierro
0 : 1
Almudevar
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Calatayud

(Away)
26 Sept
Atletico Calatayud
2 : 0
CD Baztan
04 Oct
Atletico Calatayud
1 : 4
Atletic Sant Just FC
27 Sept
Atletic Sant Just FC
3 : 0
Atletico Calatayud
11 May
Atletico Calatayud
0 : 0
Teruel
04 May
SD Ejea
3 : 0
Atletico Calatayud
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarinena 38 24 12 2 71:21 84
2 Andorra CF 38 24 12 2 73:27 84
3 Ebro 38 21 10 7 66:40 73
4 Utebo FC 38 21 9 8 56:26 72
5 Atletico Monzon 38 22 4 12 71:51 70
6 SD Ejea 38 17 11 10 59:40 62
7 Borja 38 15 12 11 46:39 57
8 Tarazona 38 15 8 15 45:45 53
9 CD Cuarte 38 14 11 13 51:47 53
10 Villanueva CF 38 15 7 16 47:48 52
11 Oliver 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
12 Sabinanigo 38 14 5 19 53:53 47
13 Almudevar 38 12 9 17 46:48 45
14 Atletico Escalerillas 38 12 9 17 36:53 45
15 Atletico Calatayud 38 14 2 22 37:52 44
16 UD Barbastro 38 11 10 17 45:59 43
17 La Almunia 38 11 7 20 39:58 40
18 Valdefierro 38 10 9 19 38:50 39
19 Robres 38 7 9 22 41:63 30
20 Binefar 38 5 0 33 20:116 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)