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Valdelacalzada vs Diter Zafra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016 game between Valdelacalzada and Diter Zafra finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diter Zafra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Valdelacalzada
20%
Draws
0%
Diter Zafra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valdelacalzada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Diter Zafra come out ahead of Valdelacalzada on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Valdelacalzada taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Valdelacalzada Clean Sheet 10%
Diter Zafra Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valdelacalzada Diter Zafra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 0.63 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.37 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Valdelacalzada vs Diter Zafra
0:1
Nov 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Valdelacalzada
0:0
Mar 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Valdelacalzada
2:1
Nov 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Valdelacalzada vs Diter Zafra
1:1
Mar 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Valdelacalzada vs Diter Zafra
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdelacalzada 47 / 100
Diter Zafra 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valdelacalzada Diter Zafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valdelacalzada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diter Zafra let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Diter Zafra lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Valdelacalzada scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Valdelacalzada VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valdelacalzada

(Home)
19 May
Montijo
3 : 0
Valdelacalzada
11 May
Valdelacalzada
1 : 1
Cacereno
04 May
CD Azuaga
5 : 0
Valdelacalzada
27 Apr
Valdelacalzada
0 : 0
UP Plasencia
20 Apr
CP Valdivia
2 : 0
Valdelacalzada
Page 1 of 6

Diter Zafra

(Away)
12 May
Extremadura UD B
6 : 2
Diter Zafra
07 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 3
Don Benito
30 Apr
Santa Amalia
2 : 1
Diter Zafra
23 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
4 : 0
Diter Zafra
13 Apr
Diter Zafra
3 : 4
UP Plasencia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Extremadura UD 38 27 9 2 106:25 90
2 CD Badajoz 38 26 9 3 90:25 87
3 Arroyo 38 25 9 4 78:23 84
4 Jerez CF 38 24 9 5 69:24 81
5 Don Benito 38 18 12 8 53:39 66
6 CD Azuaga 38 17 11 10 75:47 62
7 CD Calamonte 38 20 2 16 68:66 62
8 Pueblonuevo 38 16 11 11 49:41 59
9 CD Coria 38 14 10 14 56:44 52
10 Diter Zafra 38 13 8 17 45:65 47
11 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 13 7 18 39:59 46
12 Moralo 38 11 12 15 53:58 45
13 Fuente de Cantos 38 12 9 17 46:66 45
14 CP Valdivia 38 12 7 19 34:63 43
15 Olivenza FC 38 8 10 20 38:61 34
16 CP Amanecer 38 7 13 18 35:66 34
17 Santa Amalia 38 7 10 21 35:70 31
18 Sanvicenteno 38 9 4 25 36:83 31
19 Valdelacalzada 38 7 8 23 29:71 29
20 Deportivo Pacense 38 6 6 26 42:80 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)