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Valdelacalzada vs Extremadura UD

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016 game between Valdelacalzada and Extremadura UD finished 2-8, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Extremadura UD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Valdelacalzada
39%
Draws
31%
Extremadura UD
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Extremadura UD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Extremadura UD have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Valdelacalzada Clean Sheet 20%
Extremadura UD Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valdelacalzada Extremadura UD
Matches Played 36 38
Wins 5 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 24 26
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Valdelacalzada vs Extremadura UD
2:8
Sep 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Extremadura UD vs Valdelacalzada
2:0
May 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Extremadura UD vs Valdelacalzada
2:0
Dec 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Valdelacalzada vs Extremadura UD
0:3
Jan 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Valdelacalzada vs Extremadura UD
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdelacalzada 31 / 100
Extremadura UD 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valdelacalzada Extremadura UD

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Extremadura UD conceded in 82% of 38 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Extremadura UD registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Valdelacalzada found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (36 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Extremadura UD
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Extremadura UD382792106:2590
2CD Badajoz38269390:2587
3Arroyo38259478:2384
4Jerez CF38249569:2481
5Don Benito381812853:3966
6CD Azuaga3817111075:4762
7CD Calamonte382021668:6662
8Pueblonuevo3816111149:4159
9CD Coria3814101456:4452
10Diter Zafra381381745:6547
11Atletico San Jose Promesas381371839:5946
12Moralo3811121553:5845
13Fuente de Cantos381291746:6645
14CP Valdivia381271934:6343
15Olivenza FC388102038:6134
16CP Amanecer387131835:6634
17Santa Amalia387102135:7031
18Sanvicenteno38942536:8331
19Valdelacalzada38782329:7129
20Deportivo Pacense38662642:8024