Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025

Valdepenas

0 - 1

Quintanar del Rey

Our Tip

Match Events

48'

Moraleda A.

69'

Soga B.

69'

Moraleda A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 game between Valdepenas and Quintanar del Rey finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quintanar del Rey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Valdepenas

Draws

90%

Quintanar del Rey

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Quintanar del Rey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Valdepenas haven't matched Quintanar del Rey's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Quintanar del Rey's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Valdepenas Clean Sheet 22%

Quintanar del Rey Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Valdepenas	Quintanar del Rey
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	2	12
Draws	11	6
Losses	17	14
Goals Scored	0	1
Goals Conceded	0	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Valdepenas vs Quintanar del Rey

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Quintanar del Rey vs Valdepenas

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valdepenas Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Quintanar del Rey Compare

Top Goalscorer Moraleda A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdepenas 10 / 100

Quintanar del Rey 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Valdepenas Quintanar del Rey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quintanar del Rey's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Valdepenas found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Quintanar del Rey lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Quintanar del Rey

0 Goals Scored 1

0 Goals Conceded 1.25

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Quintanar del Rey	34	17	13	4	31:15	64
2	Albacete B	34	17	12	5	61:31	63
3	Toledo	34	18	8	8	47:17	62
4	Villacanas	34	18	8	8	39:29	62
5	Socuellamos	34	16	9	9	47:24	57
6	Huracan de Balazote	34	14	14	6	41:28	56
7	CD Tarancon	34	15	10	9	41:31	55
8	Cazalegas	34	14	7	13	47:44	49
9	Puertollano C.F.	34	11	15	8	39:39	48
10	Villarrubia	34	12	11	11	40:38	47
11	Manchego Ciudad Real	34	12	9	13	45:37	45
12	CD Pedroneras	34	11	10	13	37:43	43
13	Marchamalo	34	12	5	17	50:47	41
14	Azuqueca	34	10	11	13	40:49	41
15	Villarrobledo	34	10	9	15	31:49	36
16	Valdepenas	34	3	13	18	21:48	22
17	Noblejas	34	3	9	22	30:69	18
18	Manzanares	34	2	9	23	23:72	15