Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Moreirense in this Taça de Portugal 2007/2008 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valdevez
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Valdevez at 1.5 per game, Moreirense at 1.07.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Valdevez taking it.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Moreirense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Valdevez Clean Sheet 20%
Moreirense Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valdevez | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 0 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.08 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2008 Taça de Portugal
Valdevez vs Moreirense
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valdevez 67 / 100
Moreirense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valdevez Moreirense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valdevez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Valdevez scored in 83% of their last 12 outings.
Moreirense has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Valdevez went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Moreirense
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Valdevez
(Home) 30 Aug
Valdevez
1 : 2 Leca
29 Jan
Valdevez
1 : 2 Nacional
14 Dec
Valdevez
3 : 1 Santa Clara
09 Nov
Valdevez
1 : 0 Gil Vicente
19 Oct
Olhanense
1 : 2 Valdevez
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30 Aug
Valdevez
1 : 2 Leca
29 Jan
Valdevez
1 : 2 Nacional
14 Dec
Valdevez
3 : 1 Santa Clara
09 Nov
Valdevez
1 : 0 Gil Vicente
13 Sept
Valdevez
2 : 1 Oliveirense
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Moreirense
(Away) 16 Aug
Arouca
4 : 0 Moreirense
09 Aug
Moreirense
2 : 2 Braga
01 Aug
Moreirense
2 : 0 Amarante FC
25 Jul
Gil Vicente
2 : 2 Moreirense
22 Jul
Santa Clara
2 : 1 Moreirense
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16 Aug
Arouca
4 : 0 Moreirense
25 Jul
Gil Vicente
2 : 2 Moreirense
22 Jul
Santa Clara
2 : 1 Moreirense
11 May
Tondela
2 : 0 Moreirense
25 Apr
Benfica
4 : 1 Moreirense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Porto 2
Chaves 0
Real SC 0
Aves 1
Penafiel 2
Vizela 1
Portimonense 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 4
Torreense 0
Freamunde 0
Anadia 1
Juv. Evora 2
Infesta 1
Messinense 0
Gil Vicente 2
Naval 3
Serzedelo 0
TBD -
Boavista -
Olhanense 2
Carregado 1
Rebordosa 1
Rio Ave 6
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Atletico CP 0
Cova De Piedade 0
Nacional 5
Leiria 2
Nelas 0
Operario 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 3
Academica 1
SC Lusitania 1
Feirense 4
Abrantes 1
Monsanto 0
BSAD 2
Pacos Ferreira 3
Valdevez 1
CU Micaelense 0
Social Lamas 1
Tocha 2
Beira Mar 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Machico 0
Moreirense 4
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
UD Rio Maior 1
Fatima 2
Camacha 1
Sanjoanense 0
TBD -
Braga -
Maritimo -
TBD -
Mondinense 0
Oliveirense 4
Lagoa 3
Santa Clara 2
Louletano 0
Sporting CP 4
1/16-finals
FC Porto 2
Aves 0
Penafiel 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 1
Anadia 0
Juv. Evora 0
Gil Vicente 3
Naval 4
Boavista 1
Olhanense 3
Rio Ave 4
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Nacional 0
Leiria 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 1
Feirense 0
Abrantes 0
Pacos Ferreira 4
Valdevez 3
Tocha 1
Beira Mar 0
Moreirense 1
Estrela da Amadora 4
Fatima 2
Camacha 2
Braga 3
Maritimo 1
Oliveirense 0
Lagoa 0
Sporting CP 4
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Sertanense 0
Leixoes 0
Gil Vicente 1
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 4
Pacos Ferreira 1
Valdevez 0
Moreirense 3
Estrela da Amadora 1
Braga 0
Maritimo 1
Sporting CP 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 1
Gil Vicente 0
Naval 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 2
Moreirense 0
Estrela da Amadora 0
Sporting CP 1
Semi-finals
FC Porto 3
Vitoria Setubal 0
Benfica 3
Sporting CP 5
Final
FC Porto 0
Sporting CP 2
