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Valdinievole Montecatini vs Ghiviborgo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 game between Valdinievole Montecatini and Ghiviborgo finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ghiviborgo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Valdinievole Montecatini
6%
Draws
90%
Ghiviborgo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ghiviborgo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ghiviborgo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ghiviborgo taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Valdinievole Montecatini Clean Sheet 22%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valdinievole Montecatini Ghiviborgo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Valdinievole Montecatini vs Ghiviborgo
1:6
Oct 1, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Valdinievole Montecatini
1:1
Feb 12, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Valdinievole Montecatini
1:2
Oct 9, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Valdinievole Montecatini vs Ghiviborgo
1:0
May 15, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Valdinievole Montecatini vs Ghiviborgo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdinievole Montecatini 10 / 100
Ghiviborgo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valdinievole Montecatini Ghiviborgo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghiviborgo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ghiviborgo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Valdinievole Montecatini's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ghiviborgo
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valdinievole Montecatini

(Home)
31 Jul
Empoli
9 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
15 Jul
AS Roma
10 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
06 May
Savona
6 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
29 Apr
Valdinievole Montecatini
1 : 0
FC Ponsacco
22 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
Page 1 of 6

Ghiviborgo

(Away)
02 May
Ghiviborgo
0 : 3
Grosseto
26 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
19 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 0
Seravezza Pozzi
12 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
02 Apr
Ghiviborgo
0 : 0
Foligno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albissola34216756:3069
2Sanremese34207758:3467
3FC Ponsacco341711649:3162
4Real Forte Querceta341612650:2760
5Viareggio34179857:4658
6Massese341511850:3356
7Savona341671153:3455
8Seravezza Pozzi341312944:3351
9San Donato Tavarnelle3412101241:3446
10Ghiviborgo3410141048:4544
11Ligorna3411101341:5043
12Sestri Levante341191435:3442
13Lavagnese341181535:4241
14Rignanese341081636:6038
15Scandicci341042042:5434
16Finale346121638:4930
17Argentina34492129:7121
18Valdinievole Montecatini34292319:7415
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 (Play Offs)