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Valdivia vs Arturo Fernandez Vial

Chile Chile

Segunda Division 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Gonzalez R.
22' Event
Huerta G.
90' Event
Fuenzalida R.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2023 game between Valdivia and Arturo Fernandez Vial finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arturo Fernandez Vial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Valdivia
40%
Draws
29%
Arturo Fernandez Vial
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valdivia come out ahead of Arturo Fernandez Vial on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Valdivia Clean Sheet 20%
Arturo Fernandez Vial Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valdivia Arturo Fernandez Vial
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 5
Draws 5 10
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2023 Segunda Division
Arturo Fernandez Vial vs Valdivia
1:0
May 20, 2023 Segunda Division
Valdivia vs Arturo Fernandez Vial
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valdivia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Arturo Fernandez Vial Compare

Top Goalscorer Huerta G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fuenzalida R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdivia 32 / 100
Arturo Fernandez Vial 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valdivia Arturo Fernandez Vial

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valdivia scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Arturo Fernandez Vial has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Arturo Fernandez Vial registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arturo Fernandez Vial
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Limache26187145:1861
2Melipilla26145741:2847
3Arturo Fernandez Vial261010626:1940
4San Antonio Unido261010632:3240
5Lautaro26107934:3337
6Osorno26971027:2834
7Trasandino26810832:3534
8D. Concepcion26941331:3631
9General Velasquez26781120:2729
10Real San Joaquin26951225:3529
11Deportes Rengo26681232:3526
12Linares Unido26671327:3725
13Iberia26951237:3522
14Valdivia26851325:3620