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Valdres vs Stord

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stord in this Division 3 - Group 4 2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Valdres
20%
Draws
80%
Stord
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stord lately — more wins on the board than Valdres.
  • Stord are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Valdres Clean Sheet 15%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valdres Stord
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 4 14
Draws 0 9
Losses 26 12
Goals Scored 0.63 2.49
Goals Conceded 6.6 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2019 Division 3 - Group 4
Valdres vs Stord
0:6
May 4, 2019 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Valdres
8:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdres 10 / 100
Stord 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valdres Stord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord has conceded goals in 80% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 7.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Valdres scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Stord lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Stord
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Valdres

(Home)
26 Oct
Vestfossen
9 : 0
Valdres
19 Oct
Valdres
0 : 6
Stord
12 Oct
Bergen Nord
8 : 0
Valdres
05 Oct
Valdres
0 : 8
Lysekloster
30 Sept
Valdres
0 : 2
Brann 2
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Stord

(Away)
08 Aug
OS TF
8 : 2
Stord
03 Aug
Brann 2
1 : 1
Stord
25 Jul
Stord
0 : 4
Askoy
27 Jun
Sogndal 2
0 : 2
Stord
20 Jun
Stord
1 : 1
Varegg
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