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Valencia B vs Ontinyent

Spain Spain

Segunda Division B - Group 3 2018/2019
Sun, May 5, 2019
1 - 0
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valencia B host Ontinyent in the Segunda Division B - Group 3 2018/2019. Little to choose between these two on current form. Valencia B have averaged 1.66 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Ontinyent's 0.53 scored and 1.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Valencia B slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 5, 2019, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.25, favoring Valencia B. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Valencia B
30%
Draws
0%
Ontinyent
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valencia B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Ontinyent haven't matched Valencia B's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Valencia B a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Valencia B Clean Sheet 19%
Ontinyent Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valencia B Ontinyent
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.66 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Valencia B vs Ontinyent
1:0
Dec 16, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Ontinyent vs Valencia B
2:2
Feb 11, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Ontinyent vs Valencia B
1:1
Sep 23, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Valencia B vs Ontinyent
2:2
Jan 19, 2014 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Ontinyent vs Valencia B
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valencia B 67 / 100
Ontinyent 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valencia B Ontinyent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valencia B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valencia B scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Away concern: Ontinyent has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ontinyent has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Valencia B VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valencia B

(Home)
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0
Valencia B
06 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 1
Mallorca B
29 Aug
Orihuela
1 : 1
Valencia B
22 Aug
Alcoyano
2 : 2
Valencia B
08 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
2 : 3
Valencia B
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Ontinyent

(Away)
19 May
Lleida
1 : 0
Ontinyent
12 May
Ontinyent
0 : 1
CF Badalona
05 May
Valencia B
1 : 0
Ontinyent
28 Apr
Ontinyent
0 : 1
Levante B
21 Apr
Cornella
1 : 0
Ontinyent
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baleares 38 21 12 5 52:30 75
2 Hercules 38 19 10 9 36:24 67
3 Villarreal B 38 17 11 10 54:39 62
4 Cornella 38 15 16 7 44:29 61
5 Espanyol B 38 16 12 10 55:38 60
6 Lleida 38 15 11 12 46:39 56
7 CF Badalona 38 14 14 10 36:32 56
8 Barcelona B 38 14 11 13 47:39 53
9 Ebro 38 12 16 10 30:34 52
10 Olot 38 10 18 10 33:31 48
11 Levante B 38 11 12 15 41:43 45
12 Sabadell 38 12 9 17 36:53 45
13 Valencia B 38 11 11 16 44:50 44
14 SD Ejea 38 10 14 14 30:36 44
15 Castellon 38 8 20 10 36:36 44
16 Alcoyano 38 9 16 13 33:45 43
17 Teruel 38 9 14 15 32:48 41
18 Conquense 38 8 15 15 31:44 39
19 Peralada 38 8 15 15 38:45 39
20 Ontinyent 38 7 11 20 23:42 0
Relegation - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Out)
Promotion - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2018/2019 (Winners Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2018/2019 (Losers Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2018/2019 (Losers Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2018/2019 (Losers Play Offs)