Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valencia vs Ath Bilbao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valencia host Ath Bilbao in the LaLiga. This one's hard to separate. Ath Bilbao have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Valencia have conceded 1.37 and scored 1.27. Head-to-head, Valencia have won 2 to Ath Bilbao's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.88 - 1.19) back Ath Bilbao to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Valencia
20%
Draws
63%
Ath Bilbao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ath Bilbao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Ath Bilbao have won more games recently than Valencia.
  • Win probability leans Ath Bilbao's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Valencia Clean Sheet 20%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valencia Ath Bilbao
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Valencia
0:1
Feb 4, 2026 Copa del Rey
Valencia vs Ath Bilbao
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Ath Bilbao
2:0
May 18, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Ath Bilbao
0:1
Aug 28, 2024 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Valencia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valencia 10 / 100
Ath Bilbao 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valencia Ath Bilbao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ath Bilbao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Valencia scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ath Bilbao conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Valencia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valencia VS Ath Bilbao
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valencia

(Home)
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0
Valencia
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5
Barcelona
30 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
3 : 1
Valencia
Page 1 of 6

Ath Bilbao

(Away)
02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1
Ath Bilbao
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1
Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0
Atl. Madrid
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2
Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 31:7 21
2 Atl. Madrid 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 9:7 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
7 Dep. A Coruna 7 2 4 1 10:8 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9:13 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Getafe 7 2 2 3 4:7 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
13 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
14 Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 8:6 7
15 Espanyol 7 2 1 4 10:10 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11:17 5
19 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
20 Malaga 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)